globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2019.100193
WOS记录号: WOS:000468786500006
论文题名:
Impact of climate change on precipitation patterns in Houston, Texas, USA
作者: Li, Zhiying1; Li, Xiao2; Wang, Yue2; Quiring, Steven M.1
通讯作者: Li, Zhiying
刊名: ANTHROPOCENE
ISSN: 2213-3054
出版年: 2019
卷: 25
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Precipitation ; Climate change ; Indices ; Clear Creek watershed
WOS关键词: EXTREME EVENTS ; FUTURE CHANGES ; FLOOD RISK ; MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY ; TEMPERATURE ; INTENSITY ; DROUGHT ; TRENDS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Extreme precipitation events damage infrastructure and property; thus, predicting future precipitation patterns in the context of climate change is important. In this study, precipitation projections from 36 downscaled General Circulation Models (GCMs) under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) enabled examination of projected changes in future precipitation for the Clear Creek watershed in Houston, Texas, USA. Precipitation from 1950 to 2099 simulated with GCM were downscaled using the Bias-Correction Spatial Disaggregation method. Ten precipitation indices that represent precipitation amount, precipitation intensity, precipitation duration, and precipitation frequency evaluated how precipitation patterns will likely change. Results show that, at the annual scale, mean precipitation will significantly decrease based on RCP8.5, or remain relatively constant based on RCP2.6. Precipitation intensity and precipitation variability, however, will likely increase. Dry periods will lengthen significantly, whereas the length of wet spells will generally remain unchanged. At the monthly scale, the amount of precipitation, precipitation intensity, precipitation frequency and the length of wet spells will likely increase in September. In contrast, precipitation will likely decrease and dry spells will lengthen in April, May, August, November, and December. This finding illustrates that the intra-annual variability in precipitation will increase. The projected changes in precipitation under RCP8.5 are generally greater compared with RCP2.6. Differences between the scenarios are more pronounced towards the end of the century. Houston has recently experienced substantial precipitation variability, including severe drought and record-breaking precipitation from Hurricane Harvey in 2017. These events are consistent with the long-term GCM projections. Findings from this study can be applied to help manage water resources and enhance adaptability to climate change. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130822
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Ohio State Univ, Dept Geog, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
2.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Geog, College Stn, TX USA

Recommended Citation:
Li, Zhiying,Li, Xiao,Wang, Yue,et al. Impact of climate change on precipitation patterns in Houston, Texas, USA[J]. ANTHROPOCENE,2019-01-01,25
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Li, Zhiying]'s Articles
[Li, Xiao]'s Articles
[Wang, Yue]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Li, Zhiying]'s Articles
[Li, Xiao]'s Articles
[Wang, Yue]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Li, Zhiying]‘s Articles
[Li, Xiao]‘s Articles
[Wang, Yue]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.