globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3103/S1068373919030038
WOS记录号: WOS:000466937400003
论文题名:
Assessment of Future Climate Change Impacts on Forestry in Russia
作者: Torzhkov, I. O.1; Kushnir, E. A.1; Konstantinov, A. V.1,2; Koroleva, T. S.1; Efimov, S. V.2; Shkolnik, I. M.2
通讯作者: Torzhkov, I. O.
刊名: RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 1068-3739
EISSN: 1934-8096
出版年: 2019
卷: 44, 期:3, 页码:180-186
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; forestry of Russia ; fire danger ; forest productivity
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The projection of economic consequences of climate change for forestry in the subjects of the Russian Federation is obtained for the end of the 21st century. The assessment is based on the numerous high-resolution ensemble simulations of climate change. Due to the expected increase in forest productivity, the stock of coniferous and deciduous woods will grow thus increasing wood cost. An increase in total expenses for forest fire extinction is expected by the end of the century as a result of climate-related changes in fire danger in the Russian Federation subjects. The economic assessment of possible damage due to wildfires shows that the average total cost of forest fire management in Russia can increase under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 radiative forcing scenarios by 211114 and 248956 thousand rubles. The most significant increase in the costs of forest fire management is projected in the Tyumen and Arkhangelsk oblasts and in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous okrug-Yugra.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130841
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.St Petersburg Forestry Res Inst, Inst Skii Pr 21, St Petersburg 194021, Russia
2.Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia

Recommended Citation:
Torzhkov, I. O.,Kushnir, E. A.,Konstantinov, A. V.,et al. Assessment of Future Climate Change Impacts on Forestry in Russia[J]. RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY,2019-01-01,44(3):180-186
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