globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.12.005
WOS记录号: WOS:000456317600006
论文题名:
How can learning-by-doing improve decisions in stormwater management? A Bayesian-based optimization model for planning urban green infrastructure investments
作者: Hung, Fengwei; Hobbs, Benjamin F.
通讯作者: Hung, Fengwei
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
ISSN: 1364-8152
EISSN: 1873-6726
出版年: 2019
卷: 113, 页码:59-72
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptive management ; Green infrastructure ; Learning ; Stormwater management ; Stochastic programming
WOS关键词: ROBUST OPTIMIZATION ; ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CONDITIONAL VALUE ; RISK ANALYSIS ; WATER ; UNCERTAINTY ; SIMULATION ; FRAMEWORK ; SYSTEM
WOS学科分类: Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Computer Science ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Urban stormwater management is shifting its attention from traditional centralized engineering solutions to a distributed and greener approach, namely Green Infrastructure (GI). However, uncertainties concerning GI's efficacy for reducing runoff and pollutants are a barrier to the adoption of GI. One strategy to deal with the uncertainty is to implement GI adaptively, in which stormwater managers can learn and adjust their plans over time to avoid undesired outcomes. We propose a new class of GI planning methods based on two-stage stochastic programming and Bayesian learning, which accounts for projected information gains and decision makers' objectives and willingness to accept risk. In the hypothetical example, the model identifies four categories of investment strategies and quantifies their benefits and costs: all-in, greedy investment plus deferral, mixed investments plus deferral, and learn-and-adjust. Which strategy is optimal depends on the user's risk attitudes, and the alternatives' costs and risks.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131498
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Environm Hlth & Engn, 3400 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD USA

Recommended Citation:
Hung, Fengwei,Hobbs, Benjamin F.. How can learning-by-doing improve decisions in stormwater management? A Bayesian-based optimization model for planning urban green infrastructure investments[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE,2019-01-01,113:59-72
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