FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM
; DAILY PRECIPITATION
; CLIMATE-CHANGE
; NEAREST-NEIGHBOR
; NEURAL-NETWORKS
; RIVER-BASIN
; MACHINE
; MODEL
; TEMPERATURE
; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类:
Water Resources
WOS研究方向:
Water Resources
英文摘要:
A statistical downscaling approach for improving extreme rainfall simulation was proposed to predict the daily rainfalls at Shih-Men Reservoir catchment in northern Taiwan. The structure of the proposed downscaling approach is composed of two parts: the rainfall-state classification and the regression for rainfall-amount prediction. Predictors of classification and regression methods were selected from the large-scale climate variables of the NCEP reanalysis data based on statistical tests. The data during 1964-1999 and 2000-2013 were used for calibration and validation, respectively. Three classification methods, including linear discriminant analysis (LDA), random forest (RF), and support vector classification (SVC), were adopted for rainfall-state classification and their performances were compared. After rainfall-state classification, the least square support vector regression (LS-SVR) was used for rainfall-amount prediction for different rainfall states. Two rainfall states (i.e., dry day and wet day) and three rainfall states (dry day, non-extreme-rainfall day, and extreme-rainfall day) were defined and compared for judging their downscaling performances. The results show that RF outperforms LDA and SVC for rainfall-state classification. Using RF for three-rainfall-states classification and LS-SVR for rainfall-amount prediction can improve the extreme rainfall downscaling.
Quoc Bao Pham,Yang, Tao-Chang,Kuo, Chen-Min,et al. Combing Random Forest and Least Square Support Vector Regression for Improving Extreme Rainfall Downscaling[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(3)