globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitutenv.2018.12.136
WOS记录号: WOS:000455903400156
论文题名:
Evaluation of global historical land use scenarios based on regional datasets on the Qinghai-Tibet Area
作者: Li, Shicheng1,2,3; He, Fanneng3; Zhang, Xuezhen3; Zhou, Tianyu4
通讯作者: He, Fanneng
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 657, 页码:1615-1628
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Historical land use ; Climate change ; Comparisons ; Global datasets ; Tibetan Plateau ; Grazing intensity
WOS关键词: PAST 300 YEARS ; HUMAN FOOTPRINT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CARBON EMISSIONS ; SPATIAL-PATTERN ; COVER CHANGES ; CHINA ; PLATEAU ; HOLOCENE ; CROPLAND
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Global historical land use scenarios are widely used to model human-induced climate change from the regional to global scales. It is necessary to conduct regional scale assessments of these global scenarios, identifying their uncertainties and pointing out directions for improvemeni. Based on the regional reconstruction Li-dataset, remotely sensed dataset, and grazing intensity dataset, the uncertainties of land use area and geographical distribution in HYDE3.1, HYDE3 2, and SAGE (a global land dataset from the Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment) scenarios for the Qinghai-Tibet Area (QTA) are evaluated. The comparisons show that the crop-land areas on the QTA in HYDE3.2 for 1900-2000 are close to those of the Li-dataset, whereas HYDE3.1 underestimated and SAGE overestimated the cropland areas significantly. Spatially, HYDE3.1, HYDE3.2, and SAGE have large uncertainties, which cannot reflect the distribution of cropland on the QTA and its changes for 1900-2000 well, and too much cropland is allocated to southeastern Tibet. HYDE3.1 and HYDE3.2 overestimated the pasture area and its distribution on the QTA significantly. The distribution of pasture in SAGE showed overall an agreement with the spatial pattern for grazing intensity, but changes in grazing intensity for 2000-2010 was not reflected in SAGE The FAO pasture definition and estimates and the method of using population as a proxy for pasture area arc not appropriate for the QTA. Methodology which uses the pasture inventory data to calibrate satellite-based grassland maps to obtain the current pasture maps may also not be appropriate because of the lacking differentiation between natural and anihropogenic grasslands in remotely sensed data. More regional level land use estimates with concise definitions, define the land use more clearly, and stratification reconstruction based on differences in agro-climatic conditions and resource endowments may be used to improve global maps. (C) 2018 Elsevier BM. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132269
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.China Univ Geosci, Dept Land Resource Management, Sch Publ Adm, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China
2.Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Shandong Prov Key Lab Deposit Mineralizat & Sedim, Qingdao 266590, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.China Univ Geosci, Sch Earth Sci, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Li, Shicheng,He, Fanneng,Zhang, Xuezhen,et al. Evaluation of global historical land use scenarios based on regional datasets on the Qinghai-Tibet Area[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,657:1615-1628
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