globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2019.1587615
WOS记录号: WOS:000465782500001
论文题名:
On the correlation between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration climate change signals for hydrological impact analyses
作者: De Niel, Jan; Van Uytven, E.; Willems, P.
通讯作者: De Niel, Jan
刊名: HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
ISSN: 0262-6667
EISSN: 2150-3435
出版年: 2019
卷: 64, 期:4, 页码:420-433
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; extreme flows ; impact study ; ensembles ; uncertainty
WOS关键词: UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT ; DOWNSCALING METHODS ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; 2 BASINS ; WATER ; RUNOFF ; MODELS ; CATCHMENT ; EXTREMES ; PROJECTIONS
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

State-of-the-art hydrological climate impact assessment involves ensemble approaches to address uncertainties. For precipitation, a wide range of climate model runs is available. However, for particular meteorological variables used for the calculation of potential evapotranspiration (ETo), availability of climate model runs is limited. It is preferred that climate model runs are considered coupled when calculating changes in precipitation and ETo amounts, in order to preserve the internal physical consistency. This results in constraints on the maximum ensemble size. In this paper, we investigate the correlation between climate change signals of precipitation and ETo. It is found that, for two medium-sized catchments in Belgium, uncoupling climate model runs used for calculation of change signals of precipitation and ETo amounts does not result in a significant bias for changes in extreme flow. With these results, future impact studies can be conducted with larger ensemble sizes, resulting in a more complete uncertainty estimation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132327
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Civil Engn, Hydraul Sect, Leuven, Belgium

Recommended Citation:
De Niel, Jan,Van Uytven, E.,Willems, P.. On the correlation between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration climate change signals for hydrological impact analyses[J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,2019-01-01,64(4):420-433
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