globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2019.00343
WOS记录号: WOS:000462476200001
论文题名:
Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling - Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests
作者: Holmberg, Maria1; Aalto, Tuula2; Akujarvi, Anu1; Arslan, Ali Nadir2; Bergstrom, Irina1; Bottcher, Kristin1; Lahtinen, Ismo1; Makela, Annikki3; Markkanen, Tiina2; Minunno, Francesco3; Peltoniemi, Mikko4; Rankinen, Katri1; Vihervaara, Petteri1; Forsius, Martin1
通讯作者: Holmberg, Maria
刊名: FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE
ISSN: 1664-462X
出版年: 2019
卷: 10
语种: 英语
英文关键词: forest growth ; carbon sink ; vegetation active period ; JSBACH ; PREBAS ; model ; continuous monitoring ; webcam
WOS关键词: GROSS PRIMARY PRODUCTION ; LAND-COVER CHANGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE ; INDICATORS ; MANAGEMENT ; CANADA ; SUSTAINABILITY ; BIODIVERSITY ; ASSIMILATION
WOS学科分类: Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向: Plant Sciences
英文摘要:

Forests regulate climate, as carbon, water and nutrient fluxes are modified by physiological processes of vegetation and soil. Forests also provide renewable raw material, food, and recreational possibilities. Rapid climate warming projected for the boreal zone may change the provision of these ecosystem services. We demonstrate model based estimates of present and future ecosystem services related to carbon cycling of boreal forests. The services were derived from biophysical variables calculated by two dynamic models. Future changes in the biophysical variables were driven by climate change scenarios obtained as results of a sample of global climate models downscaled for Finland, assuming three future pathways of radiative forcing. We introduce continuous monitoring on phenology to be used in model parametrization through a webcam network with automated image processing features. In our analysis, climate change impacts on key boreal forest ecosystem services are both beneficial and detrimental. Our results indicate an increase in annual forest growth of about 60% and an increase in annual carbon sink of roughly 40% from the reference period (1981-2010) to the end of the century. The vegetation active period was projected to start about 3 weeks earlier and end ten days later by the end of the century compared to currently. We found a risk for increasing drought, and a decrease in the number of soil frost days. Our results show a considerable uncertainty in future provision of boreal forest ecosystem services.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132390
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Finnish Environm Inst SYKE, Helsinki, Finland
2.Finnish Meteorol Inst FMI, Helsinki, Finland
3.Univ Helsinki, Dept Forest Sci, Helsinki, Finland
4.Natl Resources Inst LUKE, Helsinki, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Holmberg, Maria,Aalto, Tuula,Akujarvi, Anu,et al. Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling - Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests[J]. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,2019-01-01,10
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