globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1080/17538947.2019.1597188
WOS记录号: WOS:000464390000001
论文题名:
Basin-wide hydrological system assessment under climate change scenarios through conceptual modelling
作者: Donmez, Cenk1; Berberoglu, Suha1; Cilek, Ahmet1; Krause, Peter2
通讯作者: Donmez, Cenk
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH
ISSN: 1753-8947
EISSN: 1753-8955
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hydrological modelling ; RCP ; climate change ; Mediterranean ; watershed
WOS关键词: REGIONAL CLIMATE ; RIVER-BASIN ; IMPACTS ; GENERATION
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Remote Sensing
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Remote Sensing
英文摘要:

Mediterranean region is identified as a primary hot-spot for climate change due to the expected temperature and rainfall changes. Understanding the potential impacts of climate change on the hydrology in these regions is an important task to develop long-term water management strategies. The aim of this study was to quantify the potential impacts of the climate changes on local hydrological quantities at the Goksu Watershed at the Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey as a case study. A set of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios were used as drivers for the conceptual hydrological model J2000 to investigate how the hydrological system and the underlying processes would respond to projected future climate conditions. The model was implemented to simulate daily hydrological quantities including runoff generation, Actual Evapotranspiration (AET) and soil-water balance for present (2005-2015) and future (up to 2100). The results indicated an increase of both precipitation and runoff throughout the region from January to March. The region showed a strong seasonally dependent runoff regime with higher flows during winter and spring and lower flows in summer and fall. The study provides a comparative methodology to include meteorological-hydrological modelling integration that can be feasible to assess the climate change impacts in mountainous regions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132397
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Cukurova, Fac Architecture, Dept Landscape Architecture, Div Remote Sensing & GIS, Adana, Turkey
2.Thuringian State Inst Environm & Geol, Jena, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Donmez, Cenk,Berberoglu, Suha,Cilek, Ahmet,et al. Basin-wide hydrological system assessment under climate change scenarios through conceptual modelling[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH,2019-01-01
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