globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.2151/sola.2019-014
WOS记录号: WOS:000464127200001
论文题名:
Simulation of Daily Precipitation from CMIP5 in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
作者: Zhang, Feng1,4; Ren, Hang1; Miao, Lijuan2,3; Lei, Yadong1; Duan, Mingkeng1
通讯作者: Miao, Lijuan
刊名: SOLA
ISSN: 1349-6476
出版年: 2019
卷: 15, 页码:68-74
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: LONG-RANGE CORRELATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; TERM-MEMORY ; VARIABILITY ; BEHAVIORS ; MODELS ; CHINA
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

As the earth's third pole, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau belongs to one of the most sensitive regions to climate change in the world. Based on the observed and the simulated daily precipitation from the Coupled Model Intertomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), we evaluated the simulation performance of daily precipitation from selected CMIP5 models from 1975 to 2005 over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. We found that daily precipitation exhibited obvious long-range correlation characteristics using the &trended fluctuation analysis method. The scaling exponents of daily precipitation in summer and autumn are significantly larger than those in spring and winter. MIROC4H with the best performance can reproduce long-range correlation characteristic of daily precipitation series probably because of the higher resolution, which can capture small scale cloud convections. Besides there are seasonal differences in the simulation results among different regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, simulation effects of all climate models in summer and winter are better than those in spring and autumn. The performance of MIROC4H model works the best in spring. Overall, the scaling exponents of daily precipitation from BCC-CSM1-1-M, CMCC-CM and MIROC4H are close to the observations. CCSM4 and MIROC4H climate models could reproduce the internal dynamics characteristic of daily precipitation in autumn. But for winter, all climate models have exaggerated the scaling value in southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau compared with the observed values.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132430
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, CIC FEMD, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Minist Educ KLME, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Geog Sci, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.Leibniz Inst Agr Dev Transit Econ, Dept Struct Dev Farms & Rural Areas, Halle, Saale, Germany
4.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Feng,Ren, Hang,Miao, Lijuan,et al. Simulation of Daily Precipitation from CMIP5 in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. SOLA,2019-01-01,15:68-74
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