GLOBAL FIRE EMISSIONS
; NORTHERN EURASIA
; CLIMATE
; AEROSOL
; MODEL
; MATTER
; CONSTRAINTS
; BUDGET
; GASES
WOS学科分类:
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向:
Geology
英文摘要:
There is significant uncertainty in the global inventory of black carbon (BC). Several recent studies have reported BC emission updates, including the Fire Emission Inventory-northern Eurasia, anthropogenic emission in Russia, and global natural gas flaring. Compared with the inventory used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, these updates are only 10% higher on a global scale but are 3 times greater than previous estimations in Arctic (60-90 degrees N). We applied GEOS-Chem to examine these emission updates and evaluate their impacts on direct forcing. We found that Fire Emission Inventory-northern Eurasia may be substantially overestimated, Russia shows no prominent influence on simulation, and natural gas flaring noticeably improves simulation performance in the Arctic. Model estimated direct forcing of BC is increased by 30% on the global scale and is 2 times higher in the Arctic through application of these emission updates. This study reveals the urgent need to improve the reliability of emission inventories in the high latitudes, especially over Eurasia.
Plain Language Summary Recent black carbon (BC) emission updates suggest a substantially higher inventory than that used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Through GEOS-Chem modeling, we found that the Fire Emission Inventory-northern Eurasia biomass burning emission is overestimated over northern Eurasia, likely due to employment of U.S. plants species-based emission factors. Russian anthropogenic and natural gas flaring inventories help improve simulation performance in the Arctic. Model estimated direct forcing of BC is doubled when applying these emission updates, indicating the urgent need to further validate and improve the BC emission inventory.
1.Univ Tennessee, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA 2.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA 3.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Computat Sci & Engn Div, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA 4.Fudan Univ, Dept Environm Sci & Engn, Ctr Atmospher Chem Study, Shanghai, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation:
Dong, Xinyi,Zhu, Qingzhao,Fu, Joshua S.,et al. Evaluating Recent Updated Black Carbon Emissions and Revisiting the Direct Radiative Forcing in Arctic[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(6):3560-3570