globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5964
WOS记录号: WOS:000465456400044
论文题名:
Evaluation and improvement of tail behaviour in the cumulative distribution function transform downscaling method
作者: Lanzante, John R.1; Nath, Mary Jo1; Whitlock, Carolyn E.1,2; Dixon, Keith W.1; Adams-Smith, Dennis1,3
通讯作者: Lanzante, John R.
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:4, 页码:2449-2460
语种: 英语
英文关键词: bias correction ; distributions ; Perfect Model evaluation ; statistical downscaling ; tail values
WOS关键词: SPATIAL DEGREES ; BIAS CORRECTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SIMULATIONS ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; JACKKNIFE ; EXTREMES ; FREEDOM ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The cumulative distribution function transform (CDFt) downscaling method has been used widely to provide local-scale information and bias correction to output from physical climate models. The CDFt approach is one from the category of statistical downscaling methods that operates via transformations between statistical distributions. Although numerous studies have demonstrated that such methods provide value overall, much less effort has focused on their performance with regard to values in the tails of distributions. We evaluate the performance of CDFt-generated tail values based on four distinct approaches, two native to CDFt and two of our own creation, in the context of a "Perfect Model" setting in which global climate model output is used as a proxy for both observational and model data. We find that the native CDFt approaches can have sub-optimal performance in the tails, particularly with regard to the maximum value. However, our alternative approaches provide substantial improvement.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132493
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, 201 Forrestal Rd, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
2.Engility Inc, Dover, NJ USA
3.UCAR, CPAESS, Boulder, CO USA

Recommended Citation:
Lanzante, John R.,Nath, Mary Jo,Whitlock, Carolyn E.,et al. Evaluation and improvement of tail behaviour in the cumulative distribution function transform downscaling method[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(4):2449-2460
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