globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5947
WOS记录号: WOS:000465456400028
论文题名:
Hydrologic responses to projected climate change in ecologically diverse watersheds of the Gulf Coast, United States
作者: Neupane, Ram P.1; Ficklin, Darren L.1; Knouft, Jason H.2; Ehsani, Nima3; Cibin, Raj4
通讯作者: Neupane, Ram P.
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:4, 页码:2227-2243
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Apalachicola River watershed ; climate change ; Gulf Coast ; Mobile River watershed ; streamflow ; Suwannee River watershed ; SWAT ; watershed
WOS关键词: RIVER-BASIN ; MULTISITE CALIBRATION ; POTENTIAL IMPACTS ; ASSESSMENT-TOOL ; MODEL ; STREAMFLOW ; SWAT ; UNCERTAINTY ; FLOW ; SOIL
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The Gulf Coast watersheds in the United States contain some of the highest levels of biodiversity of all freshwater systems in North America. Developing environmental management policies to protect and preserve these ecosystems makes the study of the impacts of projected climate change on the future hydrologic cycle crucial. We used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to estimate the potential hydrologic changes for the mid-21st century (2050s) and the late 21st century (2080s) in the Mobile River, Apalachicola River, and Suwannee River watersheds in the Gulf Coast region of the United States. These estimates are based on downscaled future climate projections from 20 global circulation models (GCMs) under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). SWAT models were calibrated and validated using the multi-algorithm, genetically adaptive multi-objective (AMALGAM) technique in a high-performance computing (HPC) cluster. For the Gulf Coast watersheds, the climate is projected to be warmer and wetter. Projected changes in climatic variables are likely to bring large changes in both annual and seasonal hydrologic processes within these watersheds. We found substantial decreases in mean annual streamflow under RCP8.5 during the 2080s, with up to a 13.0% decrease projected for the Suwannee River watershed compared to the present day. Summer streamflow is projected to be substantially lower during the 2080s, with up to a 25.1% decrease projected for the Suwannee River watershed, during a time of high demand of water resources for agricultural, industrial, and ecosystem services. These hydrologic projections are expected to help in making better-informed decisions for future water resources and ecosystem management in the Gulf Coast region.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132508
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Indiana Univ, Dept Geog, 701 E Kirkwood Ave, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
2.St Louis Univ, Dept Biol, St Louis, MO 63103 USA
3.Univ Notre Dame, Environm Change Initiat, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA
4.Penn State Univ, Dept Agr & Biol Engn, University Pk, PA 16802 USA

Recommended Citation:
Neupane, Ram P.,Ficklin, Darren L.,Knouft, Jason H.,et al. Hydrologic responses to projected climate change in ecologically diverse watersheds of the Gulf Coast, United States[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(4):2227-2243
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