globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1029/2018EF000989
WOS记录号: WOS:000467396900007
论文题名:
Temporally Compound Heat Wave Events and Global Warming: An Emerging Hazard
作者: Baldwin, Jane Wilson1; Dessy, Jay Benjamin2; Vecchi, Gabriel A.1,2; Oppenheimer, Michael2,3
通讯作者: Baldwin, Jane Wilson
刊名: EARTHS FUTURE
ISSN: 2328-4277
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:4, 页码:411-427
语种: 英语
英文关键词: heat wave ; compound ; risk ; global climate model ; global warming ; health
WOS关键词: EMERGENCY-DEPARTMENT VISITS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EXTREMES INDEXES ; NORTH-CAROLINA ; TEMPERATURE ; MORTALITY ; SUMMER ; MODEL ; IMPACT ; LAND
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The temporal structure of heat waves having substantial human impact varies widely, with many featuring a compound structure of hot days interspersed with cooler breaks. In contrast, many heat wave definitions employed by meteorologists include a continuous threshold-exceedance duration criterion. This study examines the hazard of these diverse sequences of extreme heat in the present, and their change with global warming. We define compound heat waves to include those periods with additional hot days following short breaks in heat wave duration. We apply these definitions to analyze daily temperature data from observations, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global climate model simulations of the past and projected climate, and synthetically generated time series. We demonstrate that compound heat waves will constitute a greater proportion of heat wave hazard as the climate warms and suggest an explanation for this phenomenon. This result implies that in order to limit heat-related mortality and morbidity with global warming, there is a need to consider added vulnerability caused by the compounding of heat waves.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132545
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Princeton Univ, Princeton Environm Inst, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
2.Princeton Univ, Dept Geosci, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
3.Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

Recommended Citation:
Baldwin, Jane Wilson,Dessy, Jay Benjamin,Vecchi, Gabriel A.,et al. Temporally Compound Heat Wave Events and Global Warming: An Emerging Hazard[J]. EARTHS FUTURE,2019-01-01,7(4):411-427
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