globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2018.11.056
WOS记录号: WOS:000456760900073
论文题名:
Sky image-based solar irradiance prediction methodologies using artificial neural networks
作者: Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia1; Ken, Tan Lit1; Suwa, Tohru2
通讯作者: Ken, Tan Lit
刊名: RENEWABLE ENERGY
ISSN: 0960-1481
出版年: 2019
卷: 134, 页码:837-845
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Artificial neural network ; Global horizontal irradiance prediction ; Sky image ; Solar energy ; Photovoltaic power generation
WOS关键词: CLOUD DETECTION ; RADIATION ; SYSTEM
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

In order to decelerate global warming, it is important to promote renewable energy technologies. Solar energy, which is one of the most promising renewable energy sources, can be converted into electricity by using photovoltaic power generation systems. Whether the photovoltaic power generation systems are connected to an electrical grid or not, predicting near-future global solar radiation is useful to balance electricity supply and demand.


In this work, two methodologies utilizing artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict global horizontal irradiance in 1 to 5 minutes in advance from sky images are proposed. These methodologies do not require cloud detection techniques. Sky photo image data have been used to detect the clouds in the existing techniques, while color information at limited number of sampling points in the images are used in the proposed methodologies. The proposed methodologies are able to capture the trends of fluctuating solar irradiance with minor discrepancies. The minimum root mean square errors of 143 W/m(2), which are comparable with the existing prediction techniques, are achieved for both of the methodologies. At the same time, the proposed methodologies require much less image data to be handled compared to the existing techniques. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132562
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Teknol Malaysia, Malaysia Japan Int Inst Technol, Takasago Thermal Environm Syst Lab, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2.President Univ, Dept Mech Engn, Cikarang, Bekasi, Indonesia

Recommended Citation:
Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia,Ken, Tan Lit,Suwa, Tohru. Sky image-based solar irradiance prediction methodologies using artificial neural networks[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2019-01-01,134:837-845
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