CHANGE IMPACTS
; MODEL
; RISK
; OPTIMIZATION
; FUTURE
WOS学科分类:
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向:
Science & Technology - Other Topics
; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:
This work analyzes the impacts of climate change in the revenues of hydropower plants. One important input for designing and evaluating investment opportunities in hydropower is the water inflows historical data. Unfortunately, the use of such information alone may not project well the future power generation due to the influence of climate change in the water inflow patterns. This paper introduces spatio-temporal information of the future climate into the operational planning of the Brazilian hydropower system. Global climate models from IPCC are considered along with downscaled regional climate models. Our results at the individual hydro plant level show the importance of taking into account climate change information when performing hydro generation planning studies. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1.North Carolina Cent Univ, Dept Decis Sci, Sch Business, Durham, NC 27707 USA 2.North Carolina State Univ, CCEE Dept, Raleigh, NC 27607 USA 3.Univ Fed Itajuba, Inst Elect Syst, BR-37500000 Itajuba, MG, Brazil 4.Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27707 USA
Recommended Citation:
de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo,Faria, Victor A. D.,Lima, Luana M. M.,et al. Hydropower revenues under the threat of climate change in Brazil[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2019-01-01,133:873-882