globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0155.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000465144300002
论文题名:
Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast United States: 1979-2014
作者: Howarth, Macy E.; Thorncroft, Christopher D.; Bosart, Lance F.
通讯作者: Howarth, Macy E.
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 1525-755X
EISSN: 1525-7541
出版年: 2019
卷: 20, 期:4, 页码:673-689
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmosphere ; Extreme events ; Flood events ; Rainfall ; Climate change ; Climate variability
WOS关键词: HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; SECULAR TRENDS ; EVENTS ; INDICATORS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Extreme precipitation can have significant adverse impacts on infrastructure and property, human health, and local economies. This paper examines recent changes in extreme precipitation in the northeast United States. Daily station data from 58 stations missing less than 5% of days for the years 1979-2014 from the U.S. Historical Climatology Network were used to analyze extreme precipitation, defined as the top 1% of days with precipitation. A statistically significant (95% confidence level) increasing trend of the threshold for the top 1% of extreme precipitation events was found (0.3 mm yr(-1)). This increasing trend was due to both an increase in the frequency of extreme events and the magnitude of extreme events. Rainfall events >= 150 mm (24-h accumulation) increased in frequency from 6 events between 1979 and 1996 to 25 events between 1997 and 2014, a 317% increase. The annual daily maximum precipitation, or the highest recorded precipitation amount in a given year, increased by an average of 1.6 mm yr(-1), a total increase of 58.0 mm. Decreasing trends in extreme precipitation were observed east of Lake Erie during the warm season. Increasing trends in extreme precipitation were most robust during the fall months of September, October, and November, and particularly at locations further inland. The analysis showed that increases in events that were tropical in nature, or associated with tropical moisture, led to the observed increase in extreme precipitation during the fall months.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132870
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: SUNY Albany, Dept Atmospher & Environm Sci, Albany, NY 12222 USA

Recommended Citation:
Howarth, Macy E.,Thorncroft, Christopher D.,Bosart, Lance F.. Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast United States: 1979-2014[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,20(4):673-689
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