globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5983
WOS记录号: WOS:000467048900015
论文题名:
El Nino-Southern Oscillation variability, teleconnection changes and responses to large volcanic eruptions since AD 1000
作者: Datwyler, Christoph1,2; Abram, Nerilie J.3,4; Grosjean, Martin1,2; Wahl, Eugene R.5; Neukom, Raphael1,2
通讯作者: Datwyler, Christoph
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:5, 页码:2711-2724
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; climate reconstruction ; Holocene ; natural climate variability ; paleoclimatology ; PCA ; proxy records ; volcanic forcing
WOS关键词: PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE ; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; ENSO ; IMPACT ; PROXY ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; VARIANCE ; EVENTS ; TRENDS ; SEASON
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the earth's dominant mode of inter-annual climate variability. It alternates between warm (El Nino) and cold (La Nina) states, with global impacts on climate and society. This study provides new ENSO reconstructions based on a large, updated collection of proxy records. We use a novel reconstruction approach that employs running principal components, which allows us to take covariance changes between proxy records into account and thereby identify periods of likely teleconnection changes. Using different implementations of the principal component analysis enables us to identify periods within the last millennium when quantifications of ENSO are most robust. These periods range from 1580 to the end of the 17th century and from 1825 to present. We incorporate an assessment of consistency among our new and existing ENSO reconstructions leading to five short phases of low agreement among the reconstructions between 1700 and 1786. We find a consistent spatial pattern of proxy covariance during these four phases, differing from the structure seen over the instrumental period. This pattern points towards changes in teleconnections in the west Pacific/Australasian region, compared to the present state. Using our new reconstructions, we find a significant response of ENSO towards more La Nina-like conditions 3-5 years after major volcanic events. We further show that our new reconstructions and existing reconstructions largely agree on the state of ENSO during volcanic eruptions in the years 1695 and 1784, which helps put into perspective the climatic response to these events. During all other large volcanic eruptions of the last 1000years, there is no reconstruction coherency with regard to the state of ENSO.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133160
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Erlachstr 9a,Trakt 3, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
2.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res, Erlachstr 9a,Trakt 3, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
3.Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia
4.Australian Natl Univ, Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia
5.NOAA, Natl Ctr Environm Informat, Ctr Weather & Climate, Boulder, CO USA

Recommended Citation:
Datwyler, Christoph,Abram, Nerilie J.,Grosjean, Martin,et al. El Nino-Southern Oscillation variability, teleconnection changes and responses to large volcanic eruptions since AD 1000[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(5):2711-2724
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