globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2019.1593419
WOS记录号: WOS:000466265300001
论文题名:
A continuous modelling approach for design flood estimation on sub-daily time scale
作者: Winter, B.1,2; Schneeberger, K.1,2; Dung, N. V.3; Huttenlau, M.4; Achleitner, S.5; Stoetter, J.1; Merz, B.3,6; Vorogushyn, S.3
通讯作者: Winter, B.
刊名: HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
ISSN: 0262-6667
EISSN: 2150-3435
出版年: 2019
卷: 64, 期:5, 页码:539-554
语种: 英语
英文关键词: derived flood frequency ; continuous modelling ; temporal disaggregation ; flood hazard ; synthetic flood events
WOS关键词: CONTINUOUS SIMULATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SPATIAL INTERPOLATION ; FREQUENCY ESTIMATION ; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS ; STOCHASTIC RAINFALL ; CASCADE MODEL ; DISAGGREGATION ; UNCERTAINTY ; PEAK
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

Design flood estimation is an essential part of flood risk assessment. Commonly applied are flood frequency analyses and design storm approaches, while the derived flood frequency using continuous simulation has been getting more attention recently. In this study, a continuous hydrological modelling approach on an hourly time scale, driven by a multi-site weather generator in combination with a -nearest neighbour resampling procedure, based on the method of fragments, is applied. The derived 100-year flood estimates in 16 catchments in Vorarlberg (Austria) are compared to (a) the flood frequency analysis based on observed discharges, and (b) a design storm approach. Besides the peak flows, the corresponding runoff volumes are analysed. The spatial dependence structure of the synthetically generated flood peaks is validated against observations. It can be demonstrated that the continuous modelling approach can achieve plausible results and shows a large variability in runoff volume across the flood events.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134156
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Innsbruck, Inst Geog, Innsbruck, Austria
2.alpS GmbH, Innsbruck, Austria
3.GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci, Sect Hydrol, Potsdam, Germany
4.ILF Consulting Engineers Austria GmbH, Innsbruck, Austria
5.Univ Innsbruck, Dept Infrastruct Engn, Unit Hydraul Engn, Innsbruck, Austria
6.Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Winter, B.,Schneeberger, K.,Dung, N. V.,et al. A continuous modelling approach for design flood estimation on sub-daily time scale[J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,2019-01-01,64(5):539-554
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