globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.01.009
WOS记录号: WOS:000460844700016
论文题名:
Effects of climate change on the extension of the potential double cropping region and and crop water requirements in Northern China
作者: Gao, Jiqing1; Yang, Xiaoguang1; Zheng, Bangyou2; Liu, Zhijuan1; Zhao, Jin3; Sun, Shuang1; Li, Kenan4; Dong, Chaoyang5
通讯作者: Yang, Xiaoguang
刊名: AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0168-1923
EISSN: 1873-2240
出版年: 2019
卷: 268, 页码:146-155
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Multiple cropping systems ; Northern China ; Crop water requirement ; Crop yield
WOS关键词: FOOD SECURITY ; SYSTEMS ; YIELD ; WHEAT ; CONSEQUENCES ; PRODUCTIVITY ; TEMPERATURE ; GROWTH ; INTERPOLATION ; MANAGEMENT
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Multiple cropping systems have been widely used in China as smart strategies to address climate change to ensure that increasing food demand is met. In the context of climate warming, the climate-based boundaries of multiple cropping systems are moving northward, and the potential crop yield is projected to increase due to continuous cropping that will be possible with increased light and heat resources. However, increasing demands for crop water have further aggravated the severity of water shortages in Northern China. In this study, we determine the impacts of climate change on the double cropping system (DCS) in Northern China using the annual accumulated temperature above 0 degrees C. The northern climate-based boundaries of the DCS have moved significantly northward and westward in Liaoning, Hebei, Gansu, Shaanxi and Shanxi Provinces. At the same time, the annual crop water requirement has increased by 198-403 mm in the planting areas sensitive to climate change [areas where the cropping system can potentially be transformed from a single cropping system (SCS) to a DCS]. The highest probability of water deficit exceedance was found during the winter wheat growing season. In addition, the difference in crop yields between the two planting patterns was analyzed using the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) model. The annual output per arable land unit in the potential DCS region, which benefited from the increase in winter crops, increased by 11.6-86.2% under different irrigation scenarios. The increase in crop production is related to irrigation. In the water-saving irrigation scenarios of Irrigation-Wheat (180 mm for winter wheat critical growth periods) and Irrigation-Wheat & Maize (180 mm for winter wheat critical growth periods and 50 mm for maize sowing), the annual output reached approximately 74-80% of the potential high yield in the Full Irrigation scenario. Our research provides suggestions for adjusting planting patterns under climate change. In the future, it will be necessary to develop multiple cropping practices that include innovative water-saving techniques and breeding technologies.


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被引频次[WOS]:49   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134302
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, 2 Yuanmingyuan West Rd, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
2.CSIRO Agr & Food, Queensland Biosci Precinct, 306 Carmody Rd, St Lucia, Qld 4067, Australia
3.Aarhus Univ, Dept Agroecol, Blichers Alle 20, DK-8830 Tjele, Denmark
4.Civil Aviat Univ China, Coll Air Traff Management, 2898 Jinbei Rd, Tianjin 300300, Peoples R China
5.Tianjin Climate Ctr, 100 Qixiangtai Rd, Tianjin 300074, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Gao, Jiqing,Yang, Xiaoguang,Zheng, Bangyou,et al. Effects of climate change on the extension of the potential double cropping region and and crop water requirements in Northern China[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,268:146-155
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