globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
论文题名:
Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?
作者: Christopher P O Reyer; Stephen Bathgate; Kristina Blennow; Jose G Borges; Harald Bugmann; Sylvain Delzon; Sonia P Faias; Jordi Garcia-Gonzalo; Barry Gardiner; Jose Ramon Gonzalez-Olabarria; Carlos Gracia; Juan Guerra Hernández; Seppo Kellomäki; Koen Kramer; Manfred J Lexer; Marcus Lindner; Ernst van der Maaten; Michael Maroschek; Bart Muys; Bruce Nicoll; Marc Palahi; João HN Palma; Joana A Paulo; Heli Peltola; Timo Pukkala; Werner Rammer; Duncan Ray; Santiago Sabaté; Mart-Jan Schelhaas; Rupert Seidl; Christian Temperli; Margarida Tomé; Rasoul Yousefpour; Niklaus E Zimmermann; Marc Hanewinkel
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2017
发表日期: 2017-03-16
卷: 12, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

Recent studies projecting future climate change impacts on forests mainly consider either the effects of climate change on productivity or on disturbances. However, productivity and disturbances are intrinsically linked because 1) disturbances directly affect forest productivity (e.g. via a reduction in leaf area, growing stock or resource-use efficiency), and 2) disturbance susceptibility is often coupled to a certain development phase of the forest with productivity determining the time a forest is in this specific phase of susceptibility. The objective of this paper is to provide an overview of forest productivity changes in different forest regions in Europe under climate change, and partition these changes into effects induced by climate change alone and by climate change and disturbances. We present projections of climate change impacts on forest productivity from state-of-the-art forest models that dynamically simulate forest productivity and the effects of the main European disturbance agents (fire, storm, insects), driven by the same climate scenario in seven forest case studies along a large climatic gradient throughout Europe. Our study shows that, in most cases, including disturbances in the simulations exaggerate ongoing productivity declines or cancel out productivity gains in response to climate change. In fewer cases, disturbances also increase productivity or buffer climate-change induced productivity losses, e.g. because low severity fires can alleviate resource competition and increase fertilization. Even though our results cannot simply be extrapolated to other types of forests and disturbances, we argue that it is necessary to interpret climate change-induced productivity and disturbance changes jointly to capture the full range of climate change impacts on forests and to plan adaptation measures.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/13619
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany;Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.;Forest Research, Northern Research Station, Roslin, Midlothian, EH25 9SY, United Kingdom;Dept. of Landscape architecture, Planning and Management, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), P.O. Box 66, 230 53 Alnarp, Sweden;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;BIOGECO, INRA—Univ. Bordeaux, Talence, France;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CTFC-CEMFOR), Ctra. de St. Llorenç de Morunys, km 2, 25280 Solsona, Spain;Forest Research, Northern Research Station, Roslin, Midlothian, EH25 9SY, United Kingdom;UMR 1391 ISPA, INRA, Bordeaux Sciences Agro, F-33140 Villenave d’Ornon, France;Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CTFC-CEMFOR), Ctra. de St. Llorenç de Morunys, km 2, 25280 Solsona, Spain;Department de Biologia Evolutiva, Ecologia i Ciències Ambientals, Universitat de Barcelona. Av. Diagonal 643, 08028, Barcelona, Spain;CREAF. Campus de Bellaterra Edifici C, 08193, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. BOX 101, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland;Wageningen University and Research Centre, 6700AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands;Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria;European Forest Institute, Yliopistokatu 6, 80100 Joensuu, Finland;Institute of Botany and Landscape Ecology, University of Greifswald, Soldmannstr. 15, 17487 Greifswald, Germany;Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria;European Forest Institute, Mediterranean Regional Office (EFIMED), Sant Pau Historic Site, Sant Leopold Pavilion, Carrer St. Antoni M. Claret 167, 08025 Barcelona, Spain;Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences, University of Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 200E box 2411, 3001 Leuven, Belgium;Forest Research, Northern Research Station, Roslin, Midlothian, EH25 9SY, United Kingdom;European Forest Institute, Yliopistokatu 6, 80100 Joensuu, Finland;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. BOX 101, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland;University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences, P.O. BOX 101, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland;Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria;Forest Research, Northern Research Station, Roslin, Midlothian, EH25 9SY, United Kingdom;Department de Biologia Evolutiva, Ecologia i Ciències Ambientals, Universitat de Barcelona. Av. Diagonal 643, 08028, Barcelona, Spain;CREAF. Campus de Bellaterra Edifici C, 08193, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain;Wageningen University and Research Centre, 6700AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands;Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria;Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Landscape Dynamics, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland;Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;Chair of Forestry Economics and Forest Planning, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacherstr. 4, 79106 Freiburg, Germany;Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Landscape Dynamics, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland;Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Landscape Dynamics, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland;Chair of Forestry Economics and Forest Planning, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacherstr. 4, 79106 Freiburg, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Christopher P O Reyer,Stephen Bathgate,Kristina Blennow,et al. Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2017-01-01,12(3)
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