globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081529
WOS记录号: WOS:000465836200036
论文题名:
Can We Constrain Uncertainty in Hydrologic Cycle Projections?
作者: Prein, Andreas F.; Pendergrass, Angeline G.
通讯作者: Prein, Andreas F.
刊名: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 0094-8276
EISSN: 1944-8007
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:7, 页码:3911-3916
语种: 英语
英文关键词: hydrologic sensitivity ; precipitation ; climate models ; uncertainties ; climate change
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; SIMULATIONS ; CMIP5 ; TEMPERATURE ; SENSITIVITY ; INTENSITY ; RAINFALL ; TRENDS ; RISKS
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

Climate change intensifies the Earth's hydrologic cycle, which has far-reaching consequences including water availability, agricultural production, and electric power generation. The rate of intensification projected by state-of-the-art global climate models (GCMs) with increasing greenhouse gas emissions, however, is highly uncertain. Thackeray et al. (2018, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079698) show that these uncertainties are related to how GCMs distribute future precipitation by either strongly increasing extreme precipitation at the cost of nonextreme events or by increasing nonextreme precipitation at the cost of extreme precipitation events. These results could help to constrain uncertainties in future hydrologic cycle intensification, thereby improving our understanding of future water resource availability and extreme hydrologic events.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136596
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

Recommended Citation:
Prein, Andreas F.,Pendergrass, Angeline G.. Can We Constrain Uncertainty in Hydrologic Cycle Projections?[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(7):3911-3916
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