globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.03.003
WOS记录号: WOS:000465364600004
论文题名:
Geomorphic control on regional glacier lake outburst flood and debris flow activity over northern Tien Shan
作者: Zaginaev, V.1; Petrakov, D.2; Erokhin, S.1; Meleshko, A.1; Stoffel, M.3,4,5; Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A.3,4
通讯作者: Zaginaev, V.
刊名: GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
ISSN: 0921-8181
EISSN: 1872-6364
出版年: 2019
卷: 176, 页码:50-59
语种: 英语
英文关键词: GLOF ; Debris flow ; Cryosphere ; Tree rings ; Dendrogeomorphology ; Tien Shan ; Kyrgyzstan
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; MASS MOVEMENTS ; WOOD ANATOMY ; RECONSTRUCTION ; MOUNTAINS ; LANDSLIDE ; HAZARDS ; RETREAT
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) and related debris flows (DF) are significant natural threats in the Tien Shan Mountains. Their occurrence is favoured by the formation of new glacier lakes and the destabilization of moraines and hillslopes due to climate warming. Understanding the frequency-magnitude of these processes is essential for the implementation of Disaster Risk Reduction strategies. Yet, long-term records of past GLOFs or DF in the region are almost completely missing, which renders rational hazard and risk assessments difficult. Here, we present a unique, multi-century dataset of regional GLOF-DF reconstruction for the Tien Shan based on tree ring analyses from six different torrential fans, and provide insights on regional processes activity. Based on this dataset, we also test whether GLOF-DF activity is related to glacier degradation and changes in geomorphic characteristics at the catchment scale. Results from > 430 disturbed trees growing on six different DF fans suggest frequent GLOF-DF activity since the 19th century, which is consistent with available historical records. We also observe an increase in process activity during the mid-20th century coinciding with phases of glacier stagnation or even slight glacier advances. This means GLOF-DF activity in northern Tien Shan is inversely related to moraine-glacier ratios as well as to glacier area shrinkage rates and fan characteristics (such as slope and depositional area). These findings imply that glaciological and geomorphic features could be used for regional susceptibility assessments in the future. Results presented here are the longest, annually resolved GLOF-DF series in the region, if not worldwide, and constitute a unique dataset to understand process variability. As such, they should be used for further climate change adaptation to mitigate natural hazard and risk in the region.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137118
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作者单位: 1.Natl Acad Sci, Inst Water Problems & Hydroenergy, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
2.Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Fac Geog, Moscow, Russia
3.Univ Geneva, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Dendrolab Ch, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland
4.Univ Geneva, Inst Environm Sci, Climate Change Impacts & Risks Anthropocene C CIA, CH-1227 Carouge, Switzerland
5.Univ Geneva, Dept FA Forel Aquat & Environm Sci, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Zaginaev, V.,Petrakov, D.,Erokhin, S.,et al. Geomorphic control on regional glacier lake outburst flood and debris flow activity over northern Tien Shan[J]. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,2019-01-01,176:50-59
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