globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2019.03.005
WOS记录号: WOS:000470052300010
论文题名:
Strategic implications of counter-geoengineering: Clash or cooperation?
作者: Heyen, Daniel1,2; Horton, Joshua3; Moreno-Cruz, Juan4
通讯作者: Heyen, Daniel
刊名: JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0095-0696
EISSN: 1096-0449
出版年: 2019
卷: 95, 页码:153-177
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate intervention ; Solar geoengineering ; Counter-geoengineering ; Free-driver ; Strategic conflicts ; Game theory ; Cooperation ; Externality ; Global warming ; International environmental agreements
WOS关键词: CLIMATE ; GOVERNANCE
WOS学科分类: Business ; Economics ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Solar geoengineering has received increasing attention as an option to temporarily stabilize global temperatures. A key concern is that heterogeneous preferences over the optimal amount of cooling combined with low deployment costs may allow the country with the strongest incentive for cooling, the so-called free-driver, to impose a substantial externality on the rest of the world. We analyze whether the threat of counter-geoengineering technologies capable of negating the climatic effects of solar geoengineering can overcome the free-driver problem and tilt the game in favour of international cooperation. Our game-theoretical model of countries with asymmetric preferences allows for a rigorous analysis of the strategic interaction surrounding solar geoengineering and counter-geoengineering. We find that counter-geoengineering prevents the free-driver outcome, but not always with benign effects. The presence of counter-geoengineering leads to either a climate clash where countries engage in a non-cooperative escalation of opposing climate interventions (negative welfare effect), a moratorium treaty where countries commit to abstain from either type of climate intervention (indeterminate welfare effect), or cooperative deployment of solar geoengineering (positive welfare effect). We show that the outcome depends crucially on the degree of asymmetry in temperature preferences between countries. (C) 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137341
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Chair Integr Risk Manag & Econ, Zurich, Switzerland
2.London Sch Econ, London, England
3.Harvard Univ, John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
4.Univ Waterloo, Sch Environm Enterprise & Dev, Waterloo, ON, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Heyen, Daniel,Horton, Joshua,Moreno-Cruz, Juan. Strategic implications of counter-geoengineering: Clash or cooperation?[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,95:153-177
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