globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0216461
WOS记录号: WOS:000467843000015
论文题名:
Climate change impact on fluvial flooding in the Indian sub-basin: A case study on the Adyar sub-basin
作者: Ramachandran, Andimuthu1; Palanivelu, Kandasamy1; Mudgal, B. V.2; Jeganathan, Anushiya1; Guganesh, Sankar1; Abinaya, Balu1; Elangovan, Arunbabu2
通讯作者: Ramachandran, Andimuthu
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:5
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: WATER-RESOURCES ; RIVER-BASIN ; MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; UNCERTAINTY ; MANAGEMENT ; RESOLUTION ; CHENNAI ; CHINESE
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Flooding is one of the most disastrous global hazards, which has been occurring more frequently in recent times. It is observed that climate change is likely to increase the intensity and the frequency of floods and river basins have become more vulnerable to fluvial flooding. In this study, the impact of climate change on fluvial flooding was analyzed over the Adyar sub-basin. This study applied statistically downscaled Global Climate Model (GCM) data in a CMIP5 dataset of IPCC Assessment Report 5 (AR5). Based on the performance to simulate the observed climate, four GCMs, namely, cesm1-cam5, mpi-esm-mr, ncarc-csm4, and bnu-esm, for RCP 4.5 were selected for projections of the future scenario. The Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves for the past and future scenarios were derived from the IMD-observed and GCM-projected rainfall data. Integrated flood modeling was performed with hydrologic (HEC-HMS) and hydraulic (HEC-RAS) models. Finally, in order to visualize the inundation areas according to the future climate projection, flood inundation maps were prepared geospatially using the ArcGIS software. For the 100-year return period, the results predict that the peak discharge for the future climate scenario would increase by 34.3%-91.9% as compared to the present climate scenario. Similarly, the future projections show an increase in the flooded area ranging from 12.6% to 26.4% based on GCMs. This simulation helps in understanding the flood risk over the Adyar sub-basin under the changing climate and the requirement for the regulation of developmental activities over the flood-prone areas.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138306
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Anna Univ, Ctr Climate Change & Adaptat Res, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
2.Anna Univ, Ctr Water Resources, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India

Recommended Citation:
Ramachandran, Andimuthu,Palanivelu, Kandasamy,Mudgal, B. V.,et al. Climate change impact on fluvial flooding in the Indian sub-basin: A case study on the Adyar sub-basin[J]. PLOS ONE,2019-01-01,14(5)
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