globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084012
Title:
High-income does not protect against hurricane losses
Author: Tobias Geiger; Katja Frieler; Anders Levermann
Source Publication: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
Publishing Year: 2016
Date Published: 2016-08-16
Volume: 11, Issue:8
Language: 英语
English Abstract:

Damage due to tropical cyclones accounts for more than 50% of all meteorologically-induced economic losses worldwide. Their nominal impact is projected to increase substantially as the exposed population grows, per capita income increases, and anthropogenic climate change manifests. So far, historical losses due to tropical cyclones have been found to increase less than linearly with a nation's affected gross domestic product (GDP). Here we show that for the United States this scaling is caused by a sub-linear increase with affected population while relative losses scale super-linearly with per capita income. The finding is robust across a multitude of empirically derived damage models that link the storm's wind speed, exposed population, and per capita GDP to reported losses. The separation of both socio-economic predictors strongly affects the projection of potential future hurricane losses. Separating the effects of growth in population and per-capita income, per hurricane losses with respect to national GDP are projected to triple by the end of the century under unmitigated climate change, while they are estimated to decrease slightly without the separation.

Related Link: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084012
Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:15   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
Document Type: 期刊论文
Identifier: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/13881
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

Files in This Item: Download All
File Name/ File Size Content Type Version Access License
Geiger_2016_Environ._Res._Lett._11_084012.pdf(2803KB)期刊论文作者接受稿开放获取View Download

Affiliation: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegraphenberg A56, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany;Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegraphenberg A56, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany;Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegraphenberg A56, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany;LDEO, Columbia University, 61 Route 9w, Palisades, NY 10964, USA;Institute of Physics, Potsdam University, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24/25, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Tobias Geiger,Katja Frieler,Anders Levermann. High-income does not protect against hurricane losses[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2016-01-01,11(8)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Tobias Geiger]'s Articles
[Katja Frieler]'s Articles
[Anders Levermann]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Tobias Geiger]'s Articles
[Katja Frieler]'s Articles
[Anders Levermann]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Tobias Geiger]‘s Articles
[Katja Frieler]‘s Articles
[Anders Levermann]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
文件名: Geiger_2016_Environ._Res._Lett._11_084012.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.