globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/e21060571
WOS记录号: WOS:000475304200032
论文题名:
Invasive Plant Species Establishment and Range Dynamics in Sri Lanka under Climate Change
作者: Kariyawasam, Champika S.1; Kumar, Lalit1; Ratnayake, Sujith S.2
通讯作者: Kariyawasam, Champika S.
刊名: ENTROPY
EISSN: 1099-4300
出版年: 2019
卷: 21, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: biological invasions ; climate suitability ; conservation planning ; MaxEnt ; niche modeling ; risk assessment
WOS关键词: SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS ; DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; IMPERFECT DETECTION ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION ; FUTURE DISTRIBUTION ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; PERFORMANCE ; PREDICTION ; NICHE
WOS学科分类: Physics, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physics
英文摘要:

Plant invasion has been widely recognized as an agent of global change that has the potential to have severe impacts under climate change. The challenges posed by invasive alien plant species (IAPS) on biodiversity and ecosystem stability is growing and not adequately studied, especially in developing countries. Defining climate suitability for multiple invasive plants establishment is important for early and strategic interventions to control and manage plant invasions. We modeled priority IAPS in Sri Lanka to identify the areas of greatest climatic suitability for their establishment and observed how these areas could be altered under projected climate change. We used Maximum Entropy method to model 14 nationally significant IAPS under representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5 for 2050 and 2070. The combined climate suitability map produced by summing up climatic suitability of 14 IAPS was further classified into five classes in ArcMap as very high, high, moderate, low, and very low. South and west parts of Sri Lanka are projected to have potentially higher climatic suitability for a larger number of IAPS. We observed suitable area changes (gains and losses) in all five classes of which two were significant enough to make an overall negative impact i.e., (i) contraction of the very low class and (ii) expansion of the moderate class. Both these changes trigger the potential risk from IAPS in Sri Lanka in the future.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138846
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ New England, Sch Environm & Rural Sci, Ecosyst Management, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia
2.Minist Mahaweli Dev & Environm, Climate Change Secretariat, Battaramulla 10120, Sri Lanka

Recommended Citation:
Kariyawasam, Champika S.,Kumar, Lalit,Ratnayake, Sujith S.. Invasive Plant Species Establishment and Range Dynamics in Sri Lanka under Climate Change[J]. ENTROPY,2019-01-01,21(6)
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