globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1177/0361198119844249
WOS记录号: WOS:000477605200024
论文题名:
Seasonal and Long-Term Changes to Pavement Life Caused by Rising Temperatures from Climate Change
作者: Knott, Jayne F.; Sias, Jo E.; Dave, Eshan, V; Jacobs, Jennifer M.
通讯作者: Knott, Jayne F.
刊名: TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD
ISSN: 0361-1981
EISSN: 2169-4052
出版年: 2019
卷: 2673, 期:6, 页码:267-278
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: PERFORMANCE ; ADAPTATION ; DESIGN
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Transportation ; Transportation Science & Technology
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Transportation
英文摘要:

Pavements are vulnerable to reduced life with climate-change-induced temperature rise. Greenhouse gas emissions have caused an increase in global temperatures since the mid-20th century and the warming is projected to accelerate. Many studies have characterized this risk with a top-down approach in which climate-change scenarios are chosen and applied to predict pavement-life reduction. This approach is useful in identifying possible pavement futures but may miss short-term or seasonal pavement-response trends that are essential for adaptation planning. A bottom-up approach focuses on a pavement's response to incremental temperature change resulting in a more complete understanding of temperature-induced pavement damage. In this study, a hybrid bottom-up/top-down approach was used to quantify the impact of changing pavement seasons and temperatures on pavement life with incremental temperature rise from 0 to 5 degrees C at a site in coastal New Hampshire. Changes in season length, seasonal average temperatures, and temperature-dependent resilient modulus were used in layered-elastic analysis to simulate the pavement's response to temperature rise. Projected temperature rise from downscaled global climate models was then superimposed on the results to determine the timing of the effects. The winter pavement season is projected to end by mid-century, replaced by a lengthening fall season. Seasonal pavement damage, currently dominated by the late spring and summer seasons, is projected to be distributed more evenly throughout the year as temperatures rise. A 7% to 32% increase in the asphalt-layer thickness is recommended to protect the base and subgrade with rising temperatures from early century to late-mid-century.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138960
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Univ New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824 USA

Recommended Citation:
Knott, Jayne F.,Sias, Jo E.,Dave, Eshan, V,et al. Seasonal and Long-Term Changes to Pavement Life Caused by Rising Temperatures from Climate Change[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD,2019-01-01,2673(6):267-278
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