globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.008
WOS记录号: WOS:000466260300007
论文题名:
Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation
作者: Duan, Hongbo1; Zhang, Gupeng2; Wang, Shouyang3; Fan, Ying4
通讯作者: Zhang, Gupeng
刊名: ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ISSN: 0921-8009
EISSN: 1873-6106
出版年: 2019
卷: 160, 页码:76-86
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Integrated assessment modeling ; Targeted mitigation ; Optimal adaptation ; Trade-offs ; Benefit-cost effectiveness
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ADAPTATION ; POLICY ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics
英文摘要:

In this work, we develop a regional integrated assessment framework by incorporating both adaptation and mitigation mechanisms to conduct benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and portray the relative adaptation cost curve. In particular, we explore the influence of induced optimal mitigation, given the 2-degree warming-increase target, on the effectiveness of adaptation. Although adaptation alone may not be able to tackle all the risks of climate change, it remains a benefit-cost effective option. Our results show that China's optimal adaptation strategy can avoid, on average, 28% of climate damage over the entire simulation horizon. With respect to the reduction of adverse climate effects, the effect of a policy mix of both adaptation and mitigation does not appear to be "1 + 1 >= 2", despite the combination strategy is still the better option compared to adaptation or mitigation alone. Robustness analysis reveals that the choice of time scales is important for policy effectiveness assessment, and the discount rate tells most of the story. Specifically, the lower the discount level, the higher the policy effectiveness; and the effectiveness of targeted policy would be significantly reinforced if a longer time scale is considered, given the same discount rate.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139089
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,160:76-86
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