globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
WOS记录号: WOS:000476576500006
论文题名:
Climate change impacts on intensity duration frequency curves of precipitation: A case study of Shiraz synoptic station, Iran
作者: Roshan, A.1; Sedghi, H.1; Sharifan, R. A.2; Porhemmat, J.3
通讯作者: Roshan, A.
刊名: JOURNAL OF AGROMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0972-1665
出版年: 2019
卷: 21, 期:2, 页码:159-165
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; IDF ; Lars wg-5 ; Hadcm3
WOS关键词: IDF CURVES
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves are among the standard design tools for many engineering applications such as urban drainage management. Since climate change may considerably affect precipitation, updating of IDF curves is highly necessary. The present study aims to examine the impacts of climate change on IDF curves of Shiraz synoptic station using downscaled outputs of Hadcm3 AOGCM under various emission scenarios (A1B, A2,61) applying larswg-5 model for the period of 2046 to 2065. The fitted Gumbel distribution was used to estimate the maximum short-term precipitation quantiles in the base period (1968-2000) and the verified empirical Bell type equation was used for the future period. The results show that the mean of maximum daily precipitation and annual precipitation will decrease in the future. Also, the maximum precipitation intensities up to 60 min duration will reduce from 0.15 mm hr(-1) to about 10.79 mm hr(-1) compared to the observed period in all returns periods and various scenarios. Overall, there were no tangible changes in intensities for durations higher than 60 min. The highest reduction in precipitation intensity would be at the 20 min duration with 100-year return period in the A2 scenario.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139270
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Islamic Azad Univ, Sci & Res Branch, Dept Agr Syst Engn, Tehran, Iran
2.Islamic Azad Univ, Shiraz Branch, Dept Water Resources Engn, Shiraz, Iran
3.Agr Res Educ & Extens Org, Soil Conservat & Watershed Management Res Inst, Shahid Shafiee St, Tehran, Iran

Recommended Citation:
Roshan, A.,Sedghi, H.,Sharifan, R. A.,et al. Climate change impacts on intensity duration frequency curves of precipitation: A case study of Shiraz synoptic station, Iran[J]. JOURNAL OF AGROMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,21(2):159-165
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