globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/e21060552
WOS记录号: WOS:000475304200013
论文题名:
Algorithmic Probability Method Versus Kolmogorov Complexity with No-Threshold Encoding Scheme for Short Time Series: An Analysis of Day-To-Day Hourly Solar Radiation Time Series over Tropical Western Indian Ocean
作者: Bessafi, Miloud1; Mihailovic, Dragutin T.2,3; Li, Peng1; Mihailovic, Anja3; Chabriat, Jean-Pierre1
通讯作者: Bessafi, Miloud ; Mihailovic, Dragutin T.
刊名: ENTROPY
ISSN: 1099-4300
出版年: 2019
卷: 21, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: hourly solar radiation ; western Indian Ocean ; tropical meteorology ; complexity measures ; algorithmic probability method ; coding theorem ; Kolmogorov complexity ; binary encoding
WOS关键词: INTERANNUAL VARIATIONS ; CLOUD COVER ; OSCILLATION ; CLIMATOLOGY ; STRATIFORM ; INDEX
WOS学科分类: Physics, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physics
英文摘要:

The complexity of solar radiation fluctuations received on the ground is nowadays of great interest for solar resource in the context of climate change and sustainable development. Over tropical maritime area, there are small inhabited islands for which the prediction of the solar resource at the daily and infra-daily time scales are important to optimize their solar energy systems. Recently, studies show that the theory of the information is a promising way to measure the solar radiation intermittency. Kolmogorov complexity (KC) is a useful tool to address the question of predictability. Nevertheless, this method is inaccurate for small time series size. To overcome this drawback, a new encoding scheme is suggested for converting hourly solar radiation time series values into a binary string for calculation of Kolmogorov complexity (KC-ES). To assess this new approach, we tested this method using the 2004-2006 satellite hourly solar data for the western part of the Indian Ocean. The results were compared with the algorithmic probability (AP) method which is used as the benchmark method to compute the complexity for short string. These two methods are a new approach to compute the complexity of short solar radiation time series. We show that KC-ES and AP methods give comparable results which are in agreement with the physical variability of solar radiation. During the 2004-2006 period, an important interannual SST (sea surface temperature) anomaly over the south of Mozambique Channel encounters in 2005, a strong MJO (Madden-Julian oscillation) took place in May 2005 over the equatorial Indian Ocean, and nine tropical cyclones crossed the western part of the Indian Ocean in 2004-2005 and 2005-2006 austral summer. We have computed KC-ES of the solar radiation time series for these three events. The results show that the Kolmogorov complexity with suggested encoding scheme (KC-ES) gives competitive measure of complexity in regard to the AP method also known as Solomonoff probability.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:2   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139302
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ La Reunion, Fac Sci & Technol, Lab Energet Elect & Proc, 15 Ave Rene Cassin, F-97715 St Clotilde, La Reunion, France
2.Univ Novi Sad, Fac Agr, Dositej Obradovic Sq 8, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
3.Univ Novi Sad, ACIMSI Ctr Meteorol & Environm Modeling, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia

Recommended Citation:
Bessafi, Miloud,Mihailovic, Dragutin T.,Li, Peng,et al. Algorithmic Probability Method Versus Kolmogorov Complexity with No-Threshold Encoding Scheme for Short Time Series: An Analysis of Day-To-Day Hourly Solar Radiation Time Series over Tropical Western Indian Ocean[J]. ENTROPY,2019-01-01,21(6)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Bessafi, Miloud]'s Articles
[Mihailovic, Dragutin T.]'s Articles
[Li, Peng]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Bessafi, Miloud]'s Articles
[Mihailovic, Dragutin T.]'s Articles
[Li, Peng]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Bessafi, Miloud]‘s Articles
[Mihailovic, Dragutin T.]‘s Articles
[Li, Peng]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.