globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10060305
WOS记录号: WOS:000473749900014
论文题名:
Yield Data Provide New Insight into the Dynamic Evaluation of Maize's Climate Suitability: A Case Study in Jilin Province, China
作者: Zhao, Jing1,2,3; Li, Kaiwei1,2,3; Wang, Rui1,2,3; Tong, Zhijun1,2,3; Zhang, Jiquan1,2,3
通讯作者: Tong, Zhijun ; Zhang, Jiquan
刊名: ATMOSPHERE
ISSN: 2073-4433
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: spring maize ; climate suitability ; agroclimatic indices ; cultivation pattern ; climate change
WOS关键词: SPRING MAIZE ; LONG-TERM ; IMPACTS ; VARIABILITY ; MODELS ; PRODUCTIVITY ; ADAPTATION ; POTENTIALS ; SELECTION ; WEATHER
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Examining the effects of climate change on spring maize, and its suitability under dynamic cultivation patterns, will aid strategic decision-making for future agricultural adaptation. This paper investigates the climate suitability of spring maize, based on daily data from 50 meteorological stations, and statistics on maize yield and area at the county level in Jilin Province, China, between 1986 and 2015. Based on a significant correlation between the cultivation patterns indicator >= 10 degrees C accumulated temperature (AAT10) and the average yield (R-2 = 0.503), the yield data are used to determine suitable thresholds for meteorological factors under the dynamic cultivation pattern, and a fuzzy fitness approach is used to evaluate the climate suitability. The results showed a good agreement between suitability estimates and scaled observed yields (average = 0.705). Moreover, good consistency between cultivation patterns, climate suitability and yield show that the late-maturing varieties of maize have gradually moved northward and eastward, and the areas of high suitability and high yield have gradually expanded eastward. In addition, drought and chilling hazard factors limit the suitability of climate resources, especially in the eastern and western regions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139381
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作者单位: 1.Northeast Normal Univ, Sch Environm, Changchun 130117, Jilin, Peoples R China
2.Northeast Normal Univ, State Environm Protect Key Lab ofWetland Ecol & V, Changchun 130117, Jilin, Peoples R China
3.Minist Educ, Key Lab Vegetat Ecol, Changchun 130117, Jilin, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhao, Jing,Li, Kaiwei,Wang, Rui,et al. Yield Data Provide New Insight into the Dynamic Evaluation of Maize's Climate Suitability: A Case Study in Jilin Province, China[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2019-01-01,10(6)
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