globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3270-9
WOS记录号: WOS:000469017000005
论文题名:
ENSO feedbacks and their relationships with the mean state in a flux adjusted ensemble
作者: Ferrett, Samantha; Collins, Matthew
通讯作者: Ferrett, Samantha
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 52, 期:12, 页码:7189-7208
语种: 英语
英文关键词: ENSO ; Feedbacks ; Stability ; Pacific
WOS关键词: EL-NINO ; ATMOSPHERE FEEDBACKS ; CLIMATE ; OCEAN ; VARIABILITY ; TRANSITION ; FREQUENCY ; EVENTS ; CMIP5
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is governed by a combination of amplifying and damping ocean-atmosphere feedbacks in the equatorial Pacific. Here we quantify these feedbacks in a flux adjusted HadCM3 perturbed physics ensemble under present day conditions and a future emissions scenario using the Bjerknes Stability Index (BJ index). Relationships between feedbacks and both the present day biases and responses under climate change of the mean equatorial Pacific climate are investigated. Despite minimised mean sea surface temperature biases through flux adjustment, the important dominant ENSO feedbacks still show biases with respect to observed feedbacks and inter-ensemble diversity. The dominant positive thermocline and zonal advective feedbacks are found to be weaker in ensemble members with stronger mean zonal advection. This is due to a weaker sensitivity of the thermocline slope and zonal surface ocean currents in the east Pacific to surface wind stress anomalies. A drier west Pacific is also found to be linked to weakened shortwave and latent heat flux damping, suggesting a link between ENSO characteristics and the hydrological cycle. In contrast to previous studies using the BJ index that find positive relationships between the index and ENSO amplitude, here they are weakly or negatively correlated, both for present day conditions and for projected differences. This is caused by strong thermodynamic damping which dominates over positive feedbacks, which alone approximate ENSO amplitude well. While the BJ index proves useful for individual linear feedback analysis, we urge caution in using the total linear BJ index alone to assess the reasons for ENSO amplitude biases and its future change in models.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140042
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作者单位: Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England

Recommended Citation:
Ferrett, Samantha,Collins, Matthew. ENSO feedbacks and their relationships with the mean state in a flux adjusted ensemble[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,52(12):7189-7208
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