globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-7859-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000471288300004
论文题名:
Global distribution of methane emissions, emission trends, and OH concentrations and trends inferred from an inversion of GOSAT satellite data for 2010-2015
作者: Maasakkers, Joannes D.1,9; Jacob, Daniel J.1; Sulprizio, Melissa P.1; Scarpelli, Tia R.1; Nesser, Hannah1; Sheng, Jian-Xiong1; Zhang, Yuzhong1,2; Hersher, Monica1; Bloom, A. Anthony3; Bowman, Kevin W.3,4; Worden, John R.3; Janssens-Maenhout, Greet5; Parker, Robert J.6,7,8
通讯作者: Maasakkers, Joannes D.
刊名: ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
ISSN: 1680-7316
EISSN: 1680-7324
出版年: 2019
卷: 19, 期:11, 页码:7859-7881
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: HIGH-SPATIAL-RESOLUTION ; ATMOSPHERIC METHANE ; FOSSIL-FUEL ; TANSO-FTS ; INVENTORY ; INCREASE ; MODEL ; CH4 ; SCIAMACHY ; HYDROXYL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

We use 2010-2015 observations of atmospheric methane columns from the GOSAT satellite instrument in a global inverse analysis to improve estimates of methane emissions and their trends over the period, as well as the global concentration of tropospheric OH (the hydroxyl radical, methane's main sink) and its trend. Our inversion solves the Bayesian optimization problem analytically including closed-form characterization of errors. This allows us to (1) quantify the information content from the inversion towards optimizing methane emissions and its trends, (2) diagnose error correlations between constraints on emissions and OH concentrations, and (3) generate a large ensemble of solutions testing different assumptions in the inversion. We show how the analytical approach can be used, even when prior error standard deviation distributions are lognormal. Inversion results show large overestimates of Chinese coal emissions and Middle East oil and gas emissions in the EDGAR v4.3.2 inventory but little error in the United States where we use a new gridded version of the EPA national greenhouse gas inventory as prior estimate. Oil and gas emissions in the EDGAR v4.3.2 inventory show large differences with national totals reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), and our inversion is generally more consistent with the UNFCCC data. The observed 2010-2015 growth in atmospheric methane is attributed mostly to an increase in emissions from India, China, and areas with large tropical wetlands. The contribution from OH trends is small in comparison. We find that the inversion provides strong independent constraints on global methane emissions (546 Tg a(-1)) and global mean OH concentrations (atmospheric methane lifetime against oxidation by tropospheric OH of 10.8 +/- 0.4 years), indicating that satellite observations of atmospheric methane could provide a proxy for OH concentrations in the future.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140305
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
2.Environm Def Fund, Washington, DC USA
3.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA USA
4.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Joint Inst Reg Earth Syst Sci & Engn, Los Angeles, CA USA
5.European Commiss Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, VA, Italy
6.Univ Leicester, Dept Phys & Astron, Earth Observat Sci, Leicester, Leics, England
7.Univ Leicester, Leicester Inst Space & Earth Observat, Leicester, Leics, England
8.NERC Natl Ctr Earth Observat, Leicester, Leics, England
9.SRON Netherlands Inst Space Res, Utrecht, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Maasakkers, Joannes D.,Jacob, Daniel J.,Sulprizio, Melissa P.,et al. Global distribution of methane emissions, emission trends, and OH concentrations and trends inferred from an inversion of GOSAT satellite data for 2010-2015[J]. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,2019-01-01,19(11):7859-7881
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