globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.060
WOS记录号: WOS:000476962800026
论文题名:
Historical changes in New York State streamflow: Attribution of temporal shifts and spatial patterns from 1961 to 2016
作者: Glas, Robin1; Burns, Douglas2; Lautz, Laura1
通讯作者: Glas, Robin
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 0022-1694
EISSN: 1879-2707
出版年: 2019
卷: 574, 页码:308-323
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Change point analysis ; Streamflow trends ; Mesoscale hydrology ; Climate change
WOS关键词: EXTREME HYDROLOGICAL EVENTS ; NORTHEASTERN UNITED-STATES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; US REGIONAL CLIMATE ; NEW-ENGLAND ; SERIAL-CORRELATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; TRENDS ; PRECIPITATION ; DROUGHT
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

To better understand the effects of climate change on streamflow, the hydrologic response to both temperature and precipitation needs to be examined at the mesoscale. New York State provides a hydrologically diverse mesoscale region, where sub-regional clusters of watersheds may respond differently to changes in temperature and in seasonal precipitation rates. Connections between streamflow and climate were examined for 97 gaging stations across the state and surrounding areas, for a historical period of 56 years of daily average streamflow. Gages were grouped into clusters if their mean annual discharge rates were strongly correlated to one another. Within each cluster, sharp temporal changes in discharge, or change points, were identified. These change points clustered both spatially and by flow regime, with low, medium, and high flows increasing around 1970 for much of the state consistent with other studies in the region. A step increase in Catskill low flows in 2003 coincides with increases in summer precipitation, and is consistent with a positive correlation between summer precipitation and annual low flows. Our results support previous studies that have shown that streamflow at this mesoscale is strongly tied to precipitation, and the strength of that connection is modulated by land cover, geographic position, and seasonal moisture conditions. Across the state, the winter-spring center of volume date has moved earlier along with increasing January streamflow rates, the result of warmer winter temperatures and an increased proportion of precipitation as rain. The transition to a post-1970s pluvial period also coincided with more frequent peak over threshold flows statewide, and this wetter period has continued to the present day.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141013
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Syracuse Univ, Dept Earth Sci, 204 Heroy Geol Lab, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA
2.US Geol Survey, New York State Water Sci Ctr, 425 Jordan Rd, Troy, NY 12180 USA

Recommended Citation:
Glas, Robin,Burns, Douglas,Lautz, Laura. Historical changes in New York State streamflow: Attribution of temporal shifts and spatial patterns from 1961 to 2016[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,2019-01-01,574:308-323
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