globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2019.04.002
WOS记录号: WOS:000472990800013
论文题名:
Do Gulf of Alaska fish and crustacean populations show synchronous non-stationary responses to climate?
作者: Puerta, Patricia1,2; Ciannelli, Lorenzo1; Rykaczewski, Ryan R.3; Opiekun, Michael3; Litzow, Michael A.4,5
通讯作者: Puerta, Patricia
刊名: PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY
ISSN: 0079-6611
出版年: 2019
卷: 175, 页码:161-170
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Marine community ; Marine populations ; Non-stationary relationship ; Synchrony ; North Pacific Gyre Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation ; Climate shift
WOS关键词: PACIFIC REGIME SHIFTS ; COMMUNITY REORGANIZATION ; EL-NINO ; VARIABILITY ; SURVIVAL ; TEMPERATURE ; NORTHERN ; STOCKS
WOS学科分类: Oceanography
WOS研究方向: Oceanography
英文摘要:

Changes in the abundance and productivity of biological populations in the North Pacific have often been associated with large-scale modes of climate variability. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), which describes spatio-temporal variability in North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST), correlates with much of this variability. However, since the late 1980s, the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) has explained an increasing proportion of variance in North Pacific climate properties. Ecological responses to this change in the proportion of variance ascribed to the two climate patterns remain poorly understood. Here, we test the hypothesis that relationships between biological time series and climate covariates (SST and the PDO) differ for nine Gulf of Alaska fish and crustacean populations before and after the late 1980s. Additionally, we evaluate whether non-stationary climate-biology relationships arose synchronously across populations as a community response. We used different formulations of Generalized Additive Models in a population and community context and compared results to the classical approach of aggregated population responses based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The results showed that climate-biology relationships weakened or reversed for most populations in the late 1980s, coinciding with the increase in variance of the NPGO. However, these non-stationary responses were highly species-specific and did not arise synchronously as a community response. We show that PCA does not represent community dynamics properly when only few species covary in time and exhibit long-term trends. Therefore, this approach might not be always useful to detect synchronous changes among biological time series as a community response. Novel associations among climate variables and novel climate-biology relationships are expected to become increasingly evident with future climate change, and the recognition of switches between different explanatory variable-response relationships may be critical for successful management of marine resources during transitions to these novel climate states.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141466
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Oregon State Univ, Coll Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Corvallis, OR 97330 USA
2.Ctr Oceanog Baleares, Inst Espanol Oceanog, Palma De Mallorca 07015, Spain
3.Univ South Carolina, Dept Biol Sci, Marine Sci Program, Columbia, SC 29208 USA
4.Farallon Inst Adv Ecosyst Res, Petaluma, CA 94952 USA
5.Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Coll Fisheries & Ocean Sci, Kodiak, AK 99615 USA

Recommended Citation:
Puerta, Patricia,Ciannelli, Lorenzo,Rykaczewski, Ryan R.,et al. Do Gulf of Alaska fish and crustacean populations show synchronous non-stationary responses to climate?[J]. PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY,2019-01-01,175:161-170
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