globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1086/703744
WOS记录号: WOS:000467426200001
论文题名:
Elite Influence on Climate Change Skepticism: Evidence from Close Gubernatorial Elections
作者: Meyer, Andrew G.
通讯作者: Meyer, Andrew G.
刊名: JOURNAL OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMISTS
ISSN: 2333-5955
EISSN: 2333-5963
出版年: 2019
卷: 6, 期:4, 页码:783-822
语种: 英语
英文关键词: global warming ; climate change ; elections ; communication ; beliefs ; state government ; political ideology ; public opinion ; regression discontinuity
WOS关键词: REGRESSION DISCONTINUITY DESIGN ; ECONOMIC-IMPACTS ; PUBLIC-OPINION ; AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT ; RANDOM FLUCTUATIONS ; POLITICAL-PARTIES ; POLARIZATION ; ATTITUDES ; OUTCOMES ; PARTISANSHIP
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Many theorize that public opinion follows political elite on climate change skepticism, yet evidence of a causal link is lacking. I use a regression discontinuity design to establish the impact of the political party of a governor on constituents' global warming beliefs. I find that, relative to the election of a Democratic governor, the election of a Republican governor significantly decreases the probability of a Republican constituent believing in global warming by approximately 11-15 percentage points; there is no significant impact on Democratic constituents. I also find a negative effect of a Republican governor on belief in human-caused global warming that does not differ by constituent partisan affiliation. These results provide one explanation for the increased political polarization in global warming beliefs despite the scientific consensus. Belief formation often plays an important role in political economy models, so these findings also have implications for implementing climate change policy.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141549
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Marquette Univ, Dept Econ, 1225 W Wisconsin Ave, Milwaukee, WI 53233 USA

Recommended Citation:
Meyer, Andrew G.. Elite Influence on Climate Change Skepticism: Evidence from Close Gubernatorial Elections[J]. JOURNAL OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMISTS,2019-01-01,6(4):783-822
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