globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13192
WOS记录号: WOS:000473662700013
论文题名:
A binomial N-mixture model for estimating arrival and departure timing
作者: Mizel, Jeremy D.1; Schmidt, Joshua H.2; Phillips, Laura M.3; Mcintyre, Carol L.2,3
通讯作者: Mizel, Jeremy D.
刊名: METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
ISSN: 2041-210X
EISSN: 2041-2096
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:7, 页码:1062-1071
语种: 英语
英文关键词: closure assumption ; detection probability ; long-term monitoring ; phenological mismatch ; phenology ; unmarked populations
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPORARY EMIGRATION ; POPULATION-SIZE ; PHENOLOGY ; ABUNDANCE ; BUTTERFLIES ; TRENDS ; DATE ; SONG
WOS学科分类: Ecology
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The timing of life cycle events has strong fitness consequences, suggesting that monitoring of arrival and departure timing may help understand spatial and population dynamics. Several existing models with inference to arrival and departure in unmarked populations are applicable to detection/non-detection data which is a reduced information summary of the underlying population and phenological dynamics. These models also do not directly address the dependence of seasonal variation in availability (e.g. song rate) on arrival timing, often treating the seasonal distribution of availability as fixed across years despite allowing variation in arrival. Model development in an abundance framework has largely occurred in the context of stopover populations, rather than populations that exhibit some period of closure between arrival and departure phases. We developed an N-mixture model that accommodates the dependence of seasonal availability on arrival timing, providing inference about abundance and both arrival and departure timing based on repeated count data. The model is applicable to populations in which there exists some period of closure between the arrival and departure phases. We developed two general formulations of the model, both of which include a model for the arrival process, but differ in the model for seasonal availability. The first formulation is applicable to cases in which seasonal availability is a function of cue production. The other is applicable to situations where seasonal availability is a function of departure of individuals or their transition to a state in which they remain unavailable for detection. We demonstrated through simulation that both versions provide unbiased and precise estimates of phenology and abundance and illustrated the cue production formulation using data collected in Denali National Park, Alaska for three passerine species. We expect that our inference framework will be broadly applicable in studies of unmarked populations where joint assessment of population, spatial and phenological dynamics is of interest.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141552
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Natl Pk Serv, Arctic Network, Fairbanks, AK 99709 USA
2.Natl Pk Serv, Cent Alaska Network, Fairbanks, AK USA
3.Natl Pk Serv, Denali Natl Pk & Preserve, Denali Natl Pk, AK USA

Recommended Citation:
Mizel, Jeremy D.,Schmidt, Joshua H.,Phillips, Laura M.,et al. A binomial N-mixture model for estimating arrival and departure timing[J]. METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2019-01-01,10(7):1062-1071
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Mizel, Jeremy D.]'s Articles
[Schmidt, Joshua H.]'s Articles
[Phillips, Laura M.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Mizel, Jeremy D.]'s Articles
[Schmidt, Joshua H.]'s Articles
[Phillips, Laura M.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Mizel, Jeremy D.]‘s Articles
[Schmidt, Joshua H.]‘s Articles
[Phillips, Laura M.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.