globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054021
论文题名:
Temperature influences on intense UK hourly precipitation and dependency on large-scale circulation
作者: S Blenkinsop; S C Chan; E J Kendon; N M Roberts; H J Fowler
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015-05-22
卷: 10, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

Short periods of intense rainfall may be associated with significant impacts on society, particularly urban flooding. Climate model projections have suggested an intensification of precipitation under scenarios of climate change. This is in accordance with the hypothesis that precipitation intensities will increase with temperature according to the thermodynamic Clausius–Clapyeron (CC) relation (a rate of ~6–7% °C−1)—a warmer atmosphere being capable of holding more moisture. Consequently, CC scaling between temperature and extreme precipitation has been demonstrated in numerous studies and in different locations, with higher than CC scaling (so-called super CC scaling) observed for sub-daily extremes. Here we use a new dataset of UK hourly precipitation to identify seasonal scaling relationships between mean daily temperature and 99th percentile hourly precipitation intensities. Pooling the data for the whole UK indicates only slightly higher than CC scaling in spring and summer at higher temperatures, notably less than the 2xCC scaling observed in other regions. Both the highest hourly intensities and the highest scaling in the UK occur in summer and so for this season the dependency of the scaling relationship on large scale circulation conditions is examined using a set of air flow indices. A shear vorticity index (indicative of large-scale flow cyclonicity) is noted to have the greatest influence on the relationship, approaching 2xCC at higher temperatures when shear vorticity is negative (anticyclonic rotation). An examination of the occurrence of intense events indicates that these can occur under cyclonic and anticyclonic conditions but that in the south-east of England the latter conditions disproportionately favour their occurrence. These results suggest that changes in circulation regimes could modify the expected changes in precipitation intensities prescribed by CC scaling and arising as a consequence of future warming.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054021
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/14183
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

Files in This Item: Download All
File Name/ File Size Content Type Version Access License
Blenkinsop_2015_Environ._Res._Lett._10_054021.pdf(1834KB)期刊论文作者接受稿开放获取View Download

作者单位: School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK;School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK;Visiting scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK;Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK;Met Office at Reading, Reading, UK;School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK

Recommended Citation:
S Blenkinsop,S C Chan,E J Kendon,et al. Temperature influences on intense UK hourly precipitation and dependency on large-scale circulation[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2015-01-01,10(5)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[S Blenkinsop]'s Articles
[S C Chan]'s Articles
[E J Kendon]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[S Blenkinsop]'s Articles
[S C Chan]'s Articles
[E J Kendon]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[S Blenkinsop]‘s Articles
[S C Chan]‘s Articles
[E J Kendon]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
文件名: Blenkinsop_2015_Environ._Res._Lett._10_054021.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.