globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1007/s12040-019-1154-1
WOS记录号: WOS:000468344400010
论文题名:
Uncertainty analysis of rainfall depth duration frequency curves using the bootstrap resampling technique
作者: Ng, Jing Lin1; Abd Aziz, Samsuzana2; Huang, Yuk Feng3; Mirzaei, Majid4; Wayayok, Aimrun2; Rowshon, M. K.2
通讯作者: Ng, Jing Lin
刊名: JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
ISSN: 2347-4327
EISSN: 0973-774X
出版年: 2019
卷: 128, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Depth duration frequency curves ; uncertainty ; bootstrap resampling ; generalised extreme value distribution
WOS关键词: STOCHASTIC WEATHER GENERATOR ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EVENTS ; SERIES ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; ESTIMATORS ; SIMULATION ; EQUATIONS
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Geology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Rainfall depth duration frequency (DDF) curves are used extensively in many engineering designs. However, due to the sampling error and the uncertainty associated with the parameter estimation process, the DDF curves are subjected to parameter uncertainty. In this study, an evaluation of the uncertainty of the DDF curves in the Kelantan river basin was performed using the bootstrap resampling method. Annual maximum rainfall series for durations of 24, 48, 72, 96 and 120 h were derived from the stochastic rainfall model outputs and fitted to the generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution. The bootstrap samples were generated by resampling with replacement from the annual maximum rainfall series. The relationships that describe the GEV parameters as a function of duration were used to establish the DDF curves. The 95% confidence intervals were used as an indicator to quantify the uncertainty in the DDF curves. The bootstrap distribution of the rainfall depth quantiles was represented by a normal probability density function. The results showed that uncertainty increased with the return period and there was significant uncertainty in the DDF curves. The suggested procedure is expected to contribute to endeavours in obtaining reliable DDF curves, where the uncertainty features are assessed.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/142764
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.UCSI Univ, Fac Engn Technol & Built Environm, Dept Civil Engn, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2.Univ Putra Malaysia, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, Serdang, Malaysia
3.Univ Tunku Abdul Rahman, Lee Kong Chian Fac Engn & Sci, Dept Civil Engn, Selangor, Malaysia
4.Univ Malaya, Fac Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Recommended Citation:
Ng, Jing Lin,Abd Aziz, Samsuzana,Huang, Yuk Feng,et al. Uncertainty analysis of rainfall depth duration frequency curves using the bootstrap resampling technique[J]. JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE,2019-01-01,128(5)
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