globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2019.03.015
WOS记录号: WOS:000467661800024
论文题名:
Machine learning-based integration of remotely-sensed drought factors can improve the estimation of agricultural drought in South-Eastern Australia
作者: Feng, Puyu1,2; Wang, Bin2; Liu, De Li2,3,4; Yu, Qiang1,5,6
通讯作者: Yu, Qiang
刊名: AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
ISSN: 0308-521X
EISSN: 1873-2267
出版年: 2019
卷: 173, 页码:303-316
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agricultural drought ; Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index ; Remote sensing ; Machine learning
WOS关键词: MONITORING METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT ; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS ; SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION ; ORGANIC-CARBON STOCKS ; RANDOM FORESTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; INDEX ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; CLASSIFICATION ; TEMPERATURE
WOS学科分类: Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
英文摘要:

Agricultural drought is a natural hazard arising from insufficient crop water supply. Many drought indices have been developed to characterize agricultural drought, relying on either ground-based climate data or various remotely-sensed drought proxies. Ground-based drought indices are more accurate but limited in coverage, while remote sensing drought indices cover large areas but have poor precision. Application of advanced data fusion approaches based on remotely-sensed data to estimate ground-based drought indices may help fill this gap. The overall objective of this study was to determine whether various remotely-sensed drought factors could be effectively used for monitoring agricultural drought in south-eastern Australia. In this study, thirty remotely-sensed drought factors from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite sensors were used to reproduce a ground-based drought index, SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index) during 2001-2017 for the New South Wales wheat belt in south-eastern Australia. Three advanced machine learning methods, i.e. bias-corrected random forest, support vector machine, and multi-layer perceptron neural network, were adopted as the regression models in this procedure. A station-based historical climate dataset and observed wheat yields were used as reference data to evaluate the performance of the model-predicted SPEI in reflecting agricultural drought. Results show that the bias-corrected random forest model outperformed the other two models for SPEI prediction, as quantified by the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and the highest R-2 values (< 0.28 and similar to 0.9, respectively). Drought distribution maps produced by the bias-corrected random forest model were then compared with the station-based drought maps, showing strong visual and statistical agreement. Furthermore, the model-predicted SPEI values were more highly correlated with observed wheat yields than the station-based SPEI. The method used in this study is effective and fast, and based on data that are readily available. It can be easily extended to other cropping areas to produce a rapid overview of drought conditions and to enhance the present capabilities of real-time drought monitoring.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/142796
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Technol Sydney, Fac Sci, Sch Life Sci, POB 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia
2.Wagga Wagga Agr Inst, NSW Dept Primary Ind, Wagga Wagga, NSW 2650, Australia
3.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
4.Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
5.Northwest A&F Univ, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
6.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Feng, Puyu,Wang, Bin,Liu, De Li,et al. Machine learning-based integration of remotely-sensed drought factors can improve the estimation of agricultural drought in South-Eastern Australia[J]. AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS,2019-01-01,173:303-316
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