globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02460-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000476738100001
论文题名:
Climate change impacts on the global potential geographical distribution of the agricultural invasive pest, Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) (Diptera: Tephritidae)
作者: Qin, Yujia1,2; Wang, Cong3; Zhao, Zihua1; Pan, Xubin3; Li, Zhihong1
通讯作者: Li, Zhihong
刊名: CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2019
卷: 155, 期:2, 页码:145-156
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: FRUIT-FLY ; CONSEQUENCES ; MANAGEMENT
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Climate change is a major factor driving shifts in the distribution of invasive pests. The oriental fruit fly, Bactrocera dorsalis, native to mainland Asia, has spread throughout Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Recently, the species has extended its Asian range northward into regions previously thought unsuitable which presents a major new risk to temperate zone agriculture and has invaded Italy. Thus, it is necessary to study how climate change may impact on the global distribution of B. dorsalis. MaxEnt models were used to map suitable habitat for this species under current and future climate conditions averaged from four global climate models under two representative emission pathways in 2050 and 2070. The results highlighted that a total of 30.84% of the world's land mass is currently climatically suitable including parts of the western coast and southeast of the USA, most of Latin America, parts of Mediterranean coastal European regions, northern and coastal Australia, and the north island of New Zealand. Under future climate conditions, the risk area of B. dorsalis in the northern hemisphere was projected to expand northward, while in the southern hemisphere, it would be southward, especially by 2070 under RCP85 with very high greenhouse gas emissions. Future management of this pest should consider the impacts of the global climate change on its potential geographical distribution.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/142923
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.China Agr Univ, Dept Entomol, Coll Plant Protect, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
2.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Inspect & Quarantine, Beijing 100176, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Qin, Yujia,Wang, Cong,Zhao, Zihua,et al. Climate change impacts on the global potential geographical distribution of the agricultural invasive pest, Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) (Diptera: Tephritidae)[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019-01-01,155(2):145-156
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Qin, Yujia]'s Articles
[Wang, Cong]'s Articles
[Zhao, Zihua]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Qin, Yujia]'s Articles
[Wang, Cong]'s Articles
[Zhao, Zihua]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Qin, Yujia]‘s Articles
[Wang, Cong]‘s Articles
[Zhao, Zihua]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.