globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.12764
WOS记录号: WOS:000473913800001
论文题名:
Climate and Land Use Effects on Hydrologic Processes in a Primarily Rain-Fed, Agricultural Watershed
作者: Phung, Quang A.1; Thompson, Allen L.1; Baffaut, Claire4; Costello, Christine2; Sadler, E. John4; Svoma, Bohumil M.5; Lupo, Anthony3; Gautam, Sagar1
通讯作者: Thompson, Allen L.
刊名: JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
ISSN: 1093-474X
EISSN: 1752-1688
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate variability ; change ; land use ; land cover change ; precipitation ; SWAT ; statistical downscaling ; CLUE-S ; hydrologic processes
WOS关键词: CHANGE IMPACTS ; RIVER-BASIN ; POTENTIAL CLIMATE ; MODELING APPROACH ; SPATIAL DYNAMICS ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; SOIL ; RESPONSES ; NITROGEN ; DROUGHT
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Environmental ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Anticipating changes in hydrologic variables is essential for making socioeconomic water resource decisions. This study aims to assess the potential impact of land use and climate change on the hydrologic processes of a primarily rain-fed, agriculturally based watershed in Missouri. A detailed evaluation was performed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool for the near future (2020-2039) and mid-century (2040-2059). Land use scenarios were mapped using the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects model. Ensemble results, based on 19 climate models, indicated a temperature increase of about 1.0 degrees C in near future and 2.0 degrees C in mid-century. Combined climate and land use change scenarios showed distinct annual and seasonal hydrologic variations. Annual precipitation was projected to increase from 6% to 7%, which resulted in 14% more spring days with soil water content equal to or exceeding field capacity in mid-century. However, summer precipitation was projected to decrease, a critical factor for crop growth. Higher temperatures led to increased potential evapotranspiration during the growing season. Combined with changes in precipitation patterns, this resulted in an increased need for irrigation by 38 mm representing a 10% increase in total irrigation water use. Analysis from multiple land use scenarios indicated converting agriculture to forest land can potentially mitigate the effects of climate change on streamflow, thus ensuring future water availability.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143025
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Missouri, Dept Biomed Biol & Chem Engn, Columbia, MO 65211 USA
2.Univ Missouri, Ind & Mfg Syst Engn, Columbia, MO USA
3.Univ Missouri, Dept Soil Environm & Atmospher Sci, Columbia, MO USA
4.ARS, Cropping Syst & Water Qual Res Unit, USDA, Columbia, MO USA
5.Salt River Project, Surface Water Resources, Tempe, AZ USA

Recommended Citation:
Phung, Quang A.,Thompson, Allen L.,Baffaut, Claire,et al. Climate and Land Use Effects on Hydrologic Processes in a Primarily Rain-Fed, Agricultural Watershed[J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION,2019-01-01
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