globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z
WOS记录号: WOS:000475851900025
论文题名:
Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets
作者: Rogelj, Joeri1,2,3; Forster, Piers M.4; Kriegler, Elmar5; Smith, Christopher J.4; Seferian, Roland6
通讯作者: Rogelj, Joeri
刊名: NATURE
ISSN: 0028-0836
EISSN: 1476-4687
出版年: 2019
卷: 571, 期:7765, 页码:335-342
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CUMULATIVE CO2 EMISSIONS ; 1.5 DEGREES-C ; CYCLE MODELS ; ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN ; SIMPLER MODEL ; PROPORTIONALITY ; PATHWAYS ; UNCERTAINTIES ; CONSISTENT ; FEEDBACKS
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Research reported during the past decade has shown that global warming is roughly proportional to the total amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere. This makes it possible to estimate the remaining carbon budget: the total amount of anthropogenic carbon dioxide that can still be emitted into the atmosphere while holding the global average temperature increase to the limit set by the Paris Agreement. However, a wide range of estimates for the remaining carbon budget has been reported, reducing the effectiveness of the remaining carbon budget as a means of setting emission reduction targets that are consistent with the Paris Agreement. Here we present a framework that enables us to track estimates of the remaining carbon budget and to understand how these estimates can improve over time as scientific knowledge advances. We propose that application of this framework may help to reconcile differences between estimates of the remaining carbon budget and may provide a basis for reducing uncertainty in the range of future estimates.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143554
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Imperial Coll London, Grantham Inst Climate Change & Environm, London, England
2.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
3.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland
4.Univ Leeds, Priestley Int Ctr Climate, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England
5.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
6.Univ Toulouse, CNRS, Meteo France, CNRM, Toulouse, France

Recommended Citation:
Rogelj, Joeri,Forster, Piers M.,Kriegler, Elmar,et al. Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets[J]. NATURE,2019-01-01,571(7765):335-342
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Rogelj, Joeri]'s Articles
[Forster, Piers M.]'s Articles
[Kriegler, Elmar]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Rogelj, Joeri]'s Articles
[Forster, Piers M.]'s Articles
[Kriegler, Elmar]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Rogelj, Joeri]‘s Articles
[Forster, Piers M.]‘s Articles
[Kriegler, Elmar]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.