globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-3117-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000476821400001
论文题名:
Assessing the characteristics and drivers of compound flooding events around the UK coast
作者: Hendry, Alistair1; Haigh, Ivan D.1; Nicholls, Robert J.2; Winter, Hugo3; Neal, Robert4; Wahl, Thomas5,6; Joly-Laugel, Amelie3; Darby, Stephen E.7
通讯作者: Hendry, Alistair
刊名: HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN: 1027-5606
EISSN: 1607-7938
出版年: 2019
卷: 23, 期:7, 页码:3117-3139
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: SEA-LEVEL RISE ; STORM-SURGE ; RIVER FLOW ; JOINT PROBABILITY ; EXTREME RAINFALL ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WATER LEVELS ; DEPENDENCE ; PRECIPITATION ; WAVES
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

In low-lying coastal regions, flooding arises from oceanographic (storm surges plus tides and/or waves), fluvial (increased river discharge), and/or pluvial (direct surface runoff) sources. The adverse consequences of a flood can be disproportionately large when these different sources occur concurrently or in close succession, a phenomenon that is known as "compound flooding". In this paper, we assess the potential for compound flooding arising from the joint occurrence of high storm surge and high river discharge around the coast of the UK. We hypothesise that there will be spatial variation in compound flood frequency, with some coastal regions experiencing a greater dependency between the two flooding sources than others. We map the dependence between high skew surges and high river discharge, considering 326 river stations linked to 33 tide gauge sites. We find that the joint occurrence of high skew surges and high river discharge occurs more frequently during the study period (15-50 years) at sites on the south-western and western coasts of the UK (between three and six joint events per decade) compared to sites along the eastern coast (between zero and one joint events per decade). Second, we investigate the meteorological conditions that drive compound and non-compound events across the UK. We show, for the first time, that spatial variability in the dependence and number of joint occurrences of high skew surges and high river discharge is driven by meteoro-logical differences in storm characteristics. On the western coast of the UK, the storms that generate high skew surges and high river discharge are typically similar in characteristics and track across the UK on comparable pathways. In contrast, on the eastern coast, the storms that typically generate high skew surges are mostly distinct from the types of storms that tend to generate high river discharge. Third, we briefly examine how the phase and strength of dependence between high skew surge and high river discharge is influenced by the characteristics (i.e. flashiness, size, and elevation gradient) of the corresponding river catchments. We find that high skew surges tend to occur more frequently with high river discharge at catchments with a lower base flow index, smaller catchment area, and steeper elevation gradient. In catchments with a high base flow index, large catchment area, and shallow elevation gradient, the peak river flow tends to occur several days after the high skew surge. The previous lack of consideration of compound flooding means that flood risk has likely been underestimated around UK coasts, particularly along the south-western and western coasts. It is crucial that this be addressed in future assessments of flood risk and flood management approaches.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:97   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143691
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Southampton, Ocean & Earth Sci, Natl Oceanog Ctr Southampton, Waterfront Campus,European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, Hants, England
2.Univ Southampton, Sch Engn, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England
3.EDF Energy R&D UK Ctr, Nat Hazards & Environm Grp, Croydon CRO 2AJ, England
4.Met Off, Dept Weather Sci, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England
5.Univ Cent Florida, Civil Environm & Construct Engn, 12800 Pegasus Dr,Suite 211, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
6.Univ Cent Florida, Natl Ctr Integrated Coastal Res, 12800 Pegasus Dr,Suite 211, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
7.Univ Southampton, Geog & Environm Sci, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England

Recommended Citation:
Hendry, Alistair,Haigh, Ivan D.,Nicholls, Robert J.,et al. Assessing the characteristics and drivers of compound flooding events around the UK coast[J]. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,2019-01-01,23(7):3117-3139
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