globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6064
WOS记录号: WOS:000479031900017
论文题名:
Comprehensive assessment of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 global climate models using observed temperature and precipitation over mainland Southeast Asia
作者: Li, Jing; Liu, Zhaofei; Yao, Zhijun; Wang, Rui
通讯作者: Liu, Zhaofei
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:10, 页码:4139-4153
语种: 英语
英文关键词: comprehensive assessment ; GCMs ; MSA ; TOPSIS
WOS关键词: ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; PERFORMANCE ; RAINFALL ; TREND ; EXTREMES ; MEKONG ; IMPACT ; GCMS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

In this study, the performances of 31 global climate models (GCMs) from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were evaluated using observed temperature and precipitation data sets for mainland Southeast Asia (MSA). In addition, the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution model (TOPSIS), which is an effective multi-objective decision method and has been widely applied in systems engineering, was used to comprehensively evaluate the GCMs on a regional scale. The meteorological variables employed included monthly mean, maximum, and minimum air temperature series and annual/seasonal precipitation during the period 1961-2004. Results showed the overall C-i values ranged from 0.56 to 0.80. Overall, ACCESS1.0, HadGEM2-A, HadGEM2-CC, and CESM1 (BGC) performed better than the other models with respect to air temperature and precipitation over MSA. For meteorological variables, the C-i of extreme temperature by GCMs was 0.65 and higher than mean temperature at 0.61. The performance of GCMs in simulating precipitation during wet season was superior to that for annual and dry season precipitation. With respect to evaluation indicators, most of the GCMs assessed in this study failed to capture observed mean annual air temperature and annual precipitation (they underestimated annual air temperature and overestimated mean annual precipitation). When evaluating the performance of the GCMs with respect to reproducing individual climatic variables, the use of various statistical evaluation criteria provided inconsistent results. These results demonstrate the need to consider the influence of different statistical eigenvalues and to employ multiple indicators when possible to enable a comprehensive evaluation of GCMs. The results of this study provide useful information for climate change, water resource, and agricultural management research in MSA.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143945
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Li, Jing,Liu, Zhaofei,Yao, Zhijun,et al. Comprehensive assessment of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 global climate models using observed temperature and precipitation over mainland Southeast Asia[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(10):4139-4153
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Li, Jing]'s Articles
[Liu, Zhaofei]'s Articles
[Yao, Zhijun]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Li, Jing]'s Articles
[Liu, Zhaofei]'s Articles
[Yao, Zhijun]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Li, Jing]‘s Articles
[Liu, Zhaofei]‘s Articles
[Yao, Zhijun]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.