globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.3103/S1068373919080065
WOS记录号: WOS:000484985600006
论文题名:
Assessment and Prediction of Droughts Using Climate Change Scenarios (The Case Study: Southeastern Iran)
作者: Mesbahzadeh, T.1; Sardoo, F. Soleimani1,2
通讯作者: Mesbahzadeh, T.
刊名: RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 1068-3739
EISSN: 1934-8096
出版年: 2019
卷: 44, 期:8, 页码:548-554
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; drought ; LARS-WG model ; climate change scenarios ; Bam Plain
WOS关键词: INDEX
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

This study investigates the influence of climate changes on droughts in the Bam region in Central Iran by using climate change scenarios. In this study, the LARS-WG model was used for predicting precipitation parameters; precipitation forecasts were made for three scenarios of climate change (A1, A1B, and B2). In the drought analysis, the SPI was used to obtain the historical and prognostic data. The results indicated that in the study area most of the years can be classified into the normal class according to the SPI index and most precipitation occurs in January, February, March, April, and May. The results also indicated that, according to the Run theory, the longest drought duration was 32 months, according to the SPI drought index with a 12-month scale, and the highest drought severity was -36.37 in this region. The highest percentage of drought frequency in the prognostic data was allocated to the severe class. These results can help immensely in managing the water resources of the region.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144426
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Tehran, 16th Azar St,Enghelab Sq, Tehran, Iran
2.Univ Jiroft, Km 8 Bandar Abbas Rd, Kerman, Iran

Recommended Citation:
Mesbahzadeh, T.,Sardoo, F. Soleimani. Assessment and Prediction of Droughts Using Climate Change Scenarios (The Case Study: Southeastern Iran)[J]. RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY,2019-01-01,44(8):548-554
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Mesbahzadeh, T.]'s Articles
[Sardoo, F. Soleimani]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Mesbahzadeh, T.]'s Articles
[Sardoo, F. Soleimani]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Mesbahzadeh, T.]‘s Articles
[Sardoo, F. Soleimani]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.