globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-018-00306-7
WOS记录号: WOS:000477586600016
论文题名:
Economic Growth Effects of Alternative Climate Change Impact Channels in Economic Modeling
作者: Piontek, Franziska1; Kalkuhl, Matthias2,3; Kriegler, Elmar1; Schultes, Anselm1; Leimbach, Marian1; Edenhofer, Ottmar1,2,4; Bauer, Nico1
通讯作者: Piontek, Franziska
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
ISSN: 0924-6460
EISSN: 1573-1502
出版年: 2019
卷: 73, 期:4, 页码:1357-1385
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Damages ; Economic growth ; Impact channels ; Production factors ; Persistence
WOS关键词: STOCHASTIC INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT ; NATURAL DISASTERS ; RISK ; LONG ; TEMPERATURE ; ELASTICITY ; POLICY ; INCOME ; SHOCKS ; COST
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Despite increasing empirical evidence of strong links between climate and economic growth, there is no established model to describe the dynamics of how different types of climate shocks affect growth patterns. Here we present the first comprehensive, comparative analysis of the long-term dynamics of one-time, temporary climate shocks on production factors, and factor productivity, respectively, in a Ramsey-type growth model. Damages acting directly on production factors allow us to study dynamic effects on factor allocation, savings and economic growth. We find that the persistence of impacts on economic activity is smallest for climate shocks directly impacting output, and successively increases for direct damages on capital, loss of labor and productivity shocks, related to different responses in savings rates and factor-specific growth. Recurring shocks lead to large welfare effects and long-term growth effects, directly linked to the persistence of individual shocks. Endogenous savings and shock anticipation both have adaptive effects but do not eliminate differences between impact channels or significantly lower the dissipation time. Accounting for endogenous growth mechanisms increases the effects. We also find strong effects on income shares, important for distributional implications. This work fosters conceptual understanding of impact dynamics in growth models, opening options for links to empirics.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144847
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Telegrafenberg A56, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
2.Mercator Res Inst Global Commons & Climate Change, Torgauer Str 12, D-10829 Berlin, Germany
3.Univ Potsdam, Fac Econ & Social Sci, August Bebel Str 89, D-14482 Potsdam, Germany
4.Tech Univ Berlin, D-10612 Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Piontek, Franziska,Kalkuhl, Matthias,Kriegler, Elmar,et al. Economic Growth Effects of Alternative Climate Change Impact Channels in Economic Modeling[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,73(4):1357-1385
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