globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.060
WOS记录号: WOS:000466249700022
论文题名:
Future changes, or lack thereof, in the temporal variability of the combined wind-plus-solar power production in Europe
作者: Jerez, S.1; Tobin, I.2; Turco, M.3; Jimenez-Guerrero, P.1; Vautard, R.2; Montavez, J. P.1
通讯作者: Jerez, S.
刊名: RENEWABLE ENERGY
ISSN: 0960-1481
出版年: 2019
卷: 139, 页码:251-260
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Wind power ; Solar photovoltaic power ; Climate change ; Supply variability
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; ENERGY RESOURCES ; COMPLEMENTARITY ; DEPLETION
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

Here we present the first assessment of climate change impacts on the temporal variability of the joint production of wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) power across Europe. For that we adopted regional and continental perspectives (assuming a single European electricity grid), considered several temporal frequencies (from daily to annual), used state-of-the-art regional climate projections together with a climate-production model, and assumed a future massive deployment of wind and PV power installations. Results support that the spatio-temporal complementarity between the wind and solar resources helps to minimize the temporal variability of the combined production under both present (1971 -2000) and future (2070-2099) climate conditions similarly. Thus the projected changes are overall negligible (well below +/- 5%). However, an additional assessment of theoretical upper/bottom bounds for these changes indicated significant potential increases in the stability of the joint production ranging from 5 to 25% across regions, 15% at the continental scale. This would be subordinated to the feasibility of reaching, with the future deployment strategies, individual wind and PV power production series with a perfect temporal anticorrelation. These results may encourage stakeholders to take holistically optimized decisions. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144965
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Murcia, Dept Phys, Reg Atmospher Modeling MAR Grp, E-30100 Murcia, Spain
2.Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France
3.BSC, Earth Sci Dept, Barcelona 08034, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Jerez, S.,Tobin, I.,Turco, M.,et al. Future changes, or lack thereof, in the temporal variability of the combined wind-plus-solar power production in Europe[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2019-01-01,139:251-260
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