globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16152661
WOS记录号: WOS:000482128400030
论文题名:
Regional Temperature Response in Central Asia to National Committed Emission Reductions
作者: Zhang, Jintao1,2; Wang, Fang1
通讯作者: Wang, Fang
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
EISSN: 1660-4601
出版年: 2019
卷: 16, 期:15
语种: 英语
英文关键词: INDC pledge ; Central Asia ; extreme high temperature
WOS关键词: DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; IMPACTS ; INDEXES ; MODELS ; CHINA ; WELL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
英文摘要:

National committed greenhouse gas emission reduction actions are the center of the Paris Agreement, and are known as Intended Nationally Determined Contributions' (INDC) that aim to slow down global warming. The climate response to INDC emission reduction is a focus in climate change science. In this study, data from 32 global climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were applied to investigate the changes in the mean and extreme high temperatures in Central Asia (CA) under the INDC scenario above the present-day level. The results show that the magnitude of warming in CA is remarkably higher than the global mean. Almost all the regions in CA will experience more intense, more frequent, and longer-lasting extreme high-temperature events. In comparison with the INDC scenario, the reduced warming of the 2.0 degrees C/1.5 degrees C target scenarios will help avoid approximately 44-61%/65-80% of the increase in extreme temperature events in terms of the intensity, frequency, and duration in CA. These results contribute to an improved understanding of the benefits of limiting global warming to the 2.0 degrees C/1.5 degrees C targets, which is paramount for mitigation and adaptation planning.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145104
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Jintao,Wang, Fang. Regional Temperature Response in Central Asia to National Committed Emission Reductions[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2019-01-01,16(15)
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