globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1111/conl.12668
WOS记录号: WOS:000478960600001
论文题名:
Final countdown for biodiversity hotspots
作者: Habell, Jan C.1,2; Rasche, Livia3; Schneider, Uwe A.3; Engler, Jan O.4; Schmid, Erwin5; Roedder, Dennis6; Meyer, Sebastian T.2; Trapp, Natalie3; del Diego, Ruth Sos3; Eggermont, Hilde7; Lens, Luc4; Stork, Nigel E.8
通讯作者: Habell, Jan C.
刊名: CONSERVATION LETTERS
ISSN: 1755-263X
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: agricultural area expansion ; biodiversity loss ; climate change ; demographic pressure ; habitat conversion ; habitat deterioration ; living standard ; protected area ; species loss
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EXTINCTION RISK ; LAND-USE ; VULNERABILITY ; CONSERVATION ; POPULATION ; EXPANSION ; LESSONS ; HABITAT
WOS学科分类: Biodiversity Conservation
WOS研究方向: Biodiversity & Conservation
英文摘要:

Most of Earth's biodiversity is found in 36 biodiversity hotspots, yet less than 10% natural intact vegetation remains. We calculated models projecting the future state of most of these hotspots for the year 2050, based on future climatic and agroeconomic pressure. Our models project an increasing demand for agricultural land resulting in the conversion of >50% of remaining natural intact vegetation in about one third of all hotspots, and in 2-6 hotspots resulting from climatic pressure. This confirms that, in the short term, habitat loss is of greater concern than climate change for hotspots and their biodiversity. Hotspots are most severely threatened in tropical Africa and parts of Asia, where demographic pressure and the demand for agricultural land is highest. The speed and magnitude of pristine habitat loss is, according to our models, much greater than previously shown when combining both scenarios on future climatic and agroeconomic pressure.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145209
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Salzburg, Dept Biosci, Evolutionary Zool Grp, Hellbrunner Str 34, A-5020 Salzburg, Austria
2.Tech Univ Munich, Sch Life Sci Weihenstephan, Dept Ecol & Ecosyst Management, Terr Ecol Res Grp, Freising Weihenstephan, Germany
3.Univ Hamburg, Res Unit Sustainabil & Global Change, Hamburg, Germany
4.Univ Ghent, Dept Biol, Terr Ecol Unit, Ghent, Belgium
5.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Vienna BOKU, Vienna, Austria
6.Zool Forsch Museum Alexander Koenig, Bonn, Germany
7.Royal Belgian Inst Nat Sci, Belgian Biodivers Platform, Brussels, Belgium
8.Griffith Univ, Griffith Sch Environm, Environm Futures Res Inst, Brisbane, Qld, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Habell, Jan C.,Rasche, Livia,Schneider, Uwe A.,et al. Final countdown for biodiversity hotspots[J]. CONSERVATION LETTERS,2019-01-01
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